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Evaluation of Endogeneity of Money Supply under Inflation Targeting Implementation in Turkey

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  • Baki DEMİREL

Abstract

This study aimed to question how successful the CBRT could be in the process of determining the money supply by acting in all these motivational conditions. To achieve this aim M3 as a proxy variable to the money supply, the banking sector loan volume as a proxy for the money demand has been dealt with. The study tested the causality relationship between variables using the Granger Causality Test and Error Correction Model. According to the results of the Granger Causality Test, in the long run, the direction of causality between the money supply and credit expansion is straightforward from the money supply to the credit extension. According to the findings of the Error Correction Model, there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between money supply and credit expansion in the short term. Credit expansion increases money supply.

Suggested Citation

  • Baki DEMİREL, 2018. "Evaluation of Endogeneity of Money Supply under Inflation Targeting Implementation in Turkey," Fiscaoeconomia, Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark), issue 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:fis:journl:180406
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Naved Ahmad & Fareed Ahmed, 2006. "The Long-run and Short-run Endogeneity of Money Supply in Pakistan: An Empirical Investigation," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 2, pages 267-278..
    2. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money Supply; Granger Causality Test; Error Correction Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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