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The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Savings

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Abstract

U.S. households built up savings at unprecedented rates following the strong fiscal response and lower consumer spending related to the pandemic. Despite recent rapid drawdowns of those funds, estimates suggest a substantial stock of excess savings remains in the aggregate economy. Since 2020, households across all income levels have held a historically large share of savings in cash or other easily accessible forms. Estimates suggest that those funds could be available to support personal spending at least into the fourth quarter of 2023.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza Abdelrahman & Luiz E. Oliveira, 2023. "The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Savings," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(11), pages 1-6, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:96090
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liviu Voinea & Prakash Loungani, 2022. "Excess Savings Are Recession-Specific and Compensatory: Evidence From the US," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(4), pages 233-237, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hamza Abdelrahman & Luiz E. Oliveira & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2024. "The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Wealth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2024(06), pages 1-6, February.
    2. Martin DeLuca & Roberto Pinheiro, 2023. "Excess Savings and Consumer Behavior: Excess Compared to What?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(19), pages 1-10, November.
    3. Mariam Tchanturia & Jared Laxton & Douglas Laxton & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2024. "Covid-19 and the Return of the 3-Star Consumption Functions in the US," NBG Working Papers 03/2024, National Bank of Georgia.
    4. Sylvain Leduc & Luiz E. Oliveira, 2023. "From Hiring Difficulties to Labor Hoarding?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(32), pages 1-6, November.

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