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An Unemployment Crisis after the Onset of COVID-19

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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. labor market, with massive job losses and a spike in unemployment to its highest level since the Great Depression. How long unemployment will remain at crisis levels is highly uncertain and will depend on the speed and success of coronavirus containment measures. Historical patterns of monthly flows in and out of unemployment, adjusted for unique aspects of the coronavirus economy, can help in assessing potential paths of unemployment. Unless hiring rises to unprecedented levels, unemployment could remain severely elevated well into next year.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau & Robert G. Valletta, 2020. "An Unemployment Crisis after the Onset of COVID-19," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2020(12), pages 1-5, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:88045
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    Cited by:

    1. Magdalena Kozera-Kowalska & Jarosław Uglis, 2021. "Students’ Perception of Education as a Preparation to Enter the Labour Market: A Case Study from a Polish University," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 338-349.
    2. Gächter, Martin & Huber, Florian & Meier, Martin, 2022. "A shot for the US economy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    3. Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu & Simona-Andreea Apostu & Aurel Marin, 2021. "Forecasting the Romanian Unemployment Rate in Time of Health Crisis—A Univariate vs. Multivariate Time Series Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-31, October.
    4. Elrashidy, Zeinab & Haniffa, Roszaini & Sherif, Mohamed & Baroudi, Sarra, 2024. "Determinants of reward crowdfunding success: Evidence from Covid-19 pandemic," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Elena Gubar & Laura Policardo & Edgar J. Sanchez Carrera & Vladislav Taynitskiy, 2021. "Optimal Lockdown Policies driven by Socioeconomic Costs," Papers 2105.08349, arXiv.org.
    6. Taniya Ghosh & Yadavindu Ajit, 2023. "Central bank transparency, the role of institutions and inflation persistence," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2023-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    7. Chee-Hong Law & Chee-Lip Tee, 2023. "Impacts of COVID-19 and Related Government Policies on the Returns of the US Dollar Against the Malaysian Ringgit," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 31(1), pages 25-45.

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