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Interest rates and house prices: pill or poison?

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Abstract

Policymakers disagree over whether central banks should use interest rates to curb leverage and asset price booms. Higher interest rates make mortgages more expensive and could prevent borrowers from bidding up house prices to create a boom. However, rough calculations show that the size of rate increase needed to do so might also boost unemployment and push down inflation. Thus, using this type of policy tool may cause the central bank to deviate significantly from its goals of full employment and price stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2015. "Interest rates and house prices: pill or poison?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00065
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Maurice Obstfeld & Jay C. Shambaugh & Alan M. Taylor, 2005. "The Trilemma in History: Tradeoffs Among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(3), pages 423-438, August.
    2. Andrea Ajello & Thomas Laubach & David López-Salido & Taisuke Nakata, 2019. "Financial Stability and Optimal Interest Rate Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 279-326, March.
    3. Journal of Economics Library, 2015. "New Economics Books," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 214-284, September.
    4. Journal of Economics Library, 2015. "New Economics Books," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 380-426, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mary C. Daly, 2020. "2020 Lessons, 2021 Priorities," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2020(37), pages 01-08, December.

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    Keywords

    Housing - Prices; Interest rates;

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