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Estimating GSP and labor productivity by state

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  • Paul W. Bauer
  • Yoonsoo Lee

Abstract

In gauging the health of state economies, arguably the two most important series to track are employment and output. While employment by state is available about three weeks after the end of a month, data on output, as measured by Gross State Product (GSP), are only available annually and with a significant lag. This Policy Discussion Paper details how more current estimates of GSP can be generated using U.S. Gross Domestic Product and personal income along with individual states personal income. A straightforward share approach yields reasonable GSP estimates, but a more sophisticated econometric approach, at a cost of imposing more structure, yields even better ones. Both techniques are also applied to estimate nonfarm-business GSP in order to calculate a measure of labor productivity at the state level that follows as closely as possible the method used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to calculate the national measure of labor productivity. We then briefly examine how labor productivity varies across states.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul W. Bauer & Yoonsoo Lee, 2006. "Estimating GSP and labor productivity by state," Policy Discussion Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Mar.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcpd:y:2006:i:mar:n:16
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bonanno, Alessandro & Lopez, Rigoberto, 2008. "Wal-Mart’s Monopsony Power in Local Labor Markets," Research Reports 149210, University of Connecticut, Food Marketing Policy Center.
    2. Bonanno, Alessandro & Lopez, Rigoberto A., 2009. "Is Wal-Mart a Monopsony? Evidence from Local Labor Markets," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51289, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. McPhail, Joseph E. & Orazem, Peter & Singh, Rajesh, 2010. "The Poverty of States: Do State Tax Policies Affect State Labor Productivity?," Staff General Research Papers Archive 31552, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Alan Sanstad & Hans Johnson & Noah Goldstein & Guido Franco, 2011. "Projecting long-run socioeconomic and demographic trends in California under the SRES A2 and B1 scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 21-42, December.
    5. Mr. Roberto Cardarelli & Ms. Lusine Lusinyan, 2015. "U.S. Total Factor Productivity Slowdown: Evidence from the U.S. States," IMF Working Papers 2015/116, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Vidhi Chhaochharia & George M. Korniotis & Alok Kumar, 2020. "Prozac for depressed states? Effect of mood on local economic recessions," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(2), pages 245-274, April.
    7. Bonanno, Alessandro & Lopez, Rigoberto A., 2012. "Wal-Mart's monopsony power in metro and non-metro labor markets," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 569-579.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Labor productivity; Gross state product;

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