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Uma nota sobre o impacto do comércio internacional no crescimento de economias em desenvolvimento

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  • Loures, Alexandre
  • Figueiredo, Erik

Abstract

Esta nota investiga o impacto do comércio internacional sobre o crescimento econômicode um grupo de países em desenvolvimento. Para tanto, emprega-se o modeloestrutural proposto por Anderson, Larch, & Yotov (2014). Os resultados indicamque o crescimento é estimulado pelo comércio bilateral. Os exercícios contrafactuaissugerem que a liberalização comercial, seja ela fruto de uma redução dos custos doNorth American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), ou de um processo de hiperglobalização,possui um impacto expressivo e positivo sobre o bem-estar social paraalguns dos países analisados. No caso do Brasil, a melhora no bem-estar é de 0; 25%e 9; 13%, respectivamente. Em geral, os resultados demonstram que o comércio internacionalpode ser utilizado como instrumento para alavancar o crescimento doPIB e o bem-estar dos países.

Suggested Citation

  • Loures, Alexandre & Figueiredo, Erik, 2017. "Uma nota sobre o impacto do comércio internacional no crescimento de economias em desenvolvimento," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 71(4), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:71:y:2017:i:4:a:65699
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