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Uma Nota Sobre Efeitos de Gastos Públicos Federais Sobre o Crescimento da Economia Brasileira

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  • Triches, Divanildo
  • da Silva, Soraia Santos

Abstract

O artigo tem o objetivo de analisar os efeitos dos gastos governamentaissobre o produto da economia brasileira ao longo do período de1980 a 2005, identificando a contribuição de algumas categorias de gastospúblicos sobre o crescimento do produto no Brasil. Para isso, foraminvestigadas as séries dos componentes das despesas públicas federais,em particular, tanto por grupo como por função. Os procedimentos metodológicosusados basearam-se nos testes de Dickey-Fuller Aumentado(DFA) e Phillips e Perron (PP), teste de Causalidade de Granger e o métodode Cointegração de Engle e Granger e Johansen. Os resultados dostestes de raiz unitária mostraram que as séries estudadas de produtoe despesas públicas são I(1). A maioria dos pares de variáveis mostroucausalidade no sentido de Granger fluindo dos componentes dos gastospúblicos para o produto. As exceções ficaram por conta dos gastoscom defesa e segurança nacional e educação. Da mesma forma, essestipos de despesas não se mostraram estatisticamente significantes nasestimações. Entretanto, comunicação, saúde e saneamento, energia erecursos minerais e transporte foram as categorias de gastos públicosque mostraram relevância empírica na composição das despesas públicas.As evidências mostram que essas despesas podem ser consideradascomo gastos produtivos. Para uma dada quantidade de fatoresprivados, melhores estradas, portos, ferrovias, comunicação, saúde e saneamento implicam uma maior produtividade desses fatores e, consequentemente,elevando o produto final.

Suggested Citation

  • Triches, Divanildo & da Silva, Soraia Santos, 2014. "Uma Nota Sobre Efeitos de Gastos Públicos Federais Sobre o Crescimento da Economia Brasileira," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(4), October.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:68:y:2014:i:4:a:3616
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    References listed on IDEAS

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