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The Classification and Identification of Asset Price Bubbles

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Abstract

This article briefly summarizes approaches to and options for identifying bubbles in asset prices. Further, the article draws on bubble literature and it theoretically discusses classification of asset price bubbles according to features as differences in rationality of investors, their informational (a)symmetry, limits in arbitrage and heterogeneous beliefs. It also highlights the identification problems related with determining the fundamental value of an asset. We argue that disequilibrium asset price is a necessary but not sufficient condition for finding a bubble in a given asset. The market and country specifics have to be borne in mind. The article also specifies the procedure for monitoring and early identification of asset price bubbles. We recommend using all available spectrum of tools in the most effective arrangement ranging from charting methods (trends, filters, price-to-income ratios) via one-equation fundamentals based models to complex and structurally rich models.

Suggested Citation

  • Lubos Komarek & Ivana Kubicová, 2011. "The Classification and Identification of Asset Price Bubbles," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(1), pages 34-48, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:61:y:2011:i:1:p:34-48
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    Cited by:

    1. Andre Tomfort, 2017. "The Japanese Asset Price Bubble: Evolvement and Consequences," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 4(2), pages 132-141.
    2. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb09/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Deev, Oleg & Kajurova, Veronika & Stavarek, Daniel, 2013. "Testing rational speculative bubbles in Central European stock markets," MPRA Paper 46582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Victor DRAGOTA & Carmen LIPARA & Radu CIOBANU, 2013. "Agency Problems and Synergistic Effects in Romania: The Determinants of the Control Premium," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(2), pages 197-219, May.
    5. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb12/1 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb12/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb11/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb11/1 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset prices; asset bubbles; equilibrium value; misalignment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles

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