IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/ijebaa/vixy2021i3p137-153.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Determinants of Growth in Manufacturing Industries: Empirical Evidence from Egypt Using the ARDL Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed A.M. Sallam

Abstract

Purpose: This study investigates essential determinants affecting the Egyptian manufacturing sector from 1970 to 2019. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs annual time-series data spanning the 1970-2019 period from the databases of the World Bank. Autoregressive distributed lag approaches are employed to examine the short- and long-run relationship causality among variables. Findings: The empirical results reveal a positive and statistically significant relationship between industry value-added and gross fixed capital formation, number of workers, and foreign direct investment, respectively, while the relationship of industry value-added with the gross domestic product and total factor productivity is added being negative and statistically significant. This result is explained by other sectors that contribute more to growth in the domestic product, such as the tourism sector and the Suez Canal. Practical Implications: These findings provide a better understanding of the determinants affecting the Egyptian manufacturing sector Originality/Value: The study would help policymakers to explore the most productive Egyptian manufacturing industries and adopt economic policies that stimulate investment in the manufacturing sector to increase economic growth and exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed A.M. Sallam, 2021. "Determinants of Growth in Manufacturing Industries: Empirical Evidence from Egypt Using the ARDL Approach," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 137-153.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:ijebaa:v:ix:y:2021:i:3:p:137-153
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ijeba.com/journal/724/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mustafa Caglayan & Rebeca Muñoz Torres, 2011. "The Effect of the Exchange Rates on Investment in Mexican Manufacturing Industry," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 669-683, September.
    2. Dilip Dutta & Nasiruddin Ahmed, 2004. "Trade liberalization and industrial growth in Pakistan: a cointegration analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(13), pages 1421-1429.
    3. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Determinants of Manufacturing Sector Performance and Its Contribution To Gross Domestic Product In Nigeria," MPRA Paper 93293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Szirmai, Adam & Naude, Wim & Alcorta, Ludovico (ed.), 2013. "Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century: New Challenges and Emerging Paradigms," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199667857.
    5. Hooper, Peter & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1978. "The effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the prices and volume of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 483-511, November.
    6. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-688, November.
    7. Miao Wang, 2009. "Manufacturing FDI and economic growth: evidence from Asian economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(8), pages 991-1002.
    8. Xiaolan Fu, 2004. "Exports, Technical Progress and Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing Industries," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Exports, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Development in China, chapter 6, pages 97-119, Palgrave Macmillan.
    9. Jin Zhang & David C. Broadstock, 2016. "The Causality between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth for China in a Time-varying Framework," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(1_suppl), pages 29-54, January.
    10. Mohamed A. M Sallam & Mohamed R Neffati, 2019. "Estimation and Analysis of the Output Gap for the Saudi Economy; Econometric Study (1970-2016)," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 267-284.
    11. repec:syd:wpaper:2001-4 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Shafiq Dhanani & Syed Asif Hasnain, 2002. "The Impact Of Foreign Direct Investment On Indonesia'S Manufacturing Sector," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 61-94.
    13. Hondroyiannis, George & Lolos, Sarantis & Papapetrou, Evangelia, 2002. "Energy consumption and economic growth: assessing the evidence from Greece," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 319-336, July.
    14. Dong, Bai & Zhang, Ming & Mu, Hailin & Su, Xuanming, 2016. "Study on decoupling analysis between energy consumption and economic growth in Liaoning Province," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 414-420.
    15. Xiaolan Fu, 2004. "Exports, Technical Progress and Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing Industries," Working Papers wp278, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge.
    16. Sekkat, Khalid & Varoudakis, Aristomene, 2000. "Exchange rate management and manufactured exports in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 237-253, February.
    17. Jennifer Day & Peter Ellis, 2013. "Growth in Indonesia's manufacturing sectors: Urban and localization contributions," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(3), pages 343-368, August.
    18. Ayobami, Ojeyinka Titus, 2019. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Performance of Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria (1981 – 2016)," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 7(2), August.
    19. Ronia Hawash, 2007. "Industrialization in Egypt: Historical Development and Implications for Economic Policy," Working Papers 1, The German University in Cairo, Faculty of Management Technology.
    20. Fiona Tregenna, 2009. "Characterising deindustrialisation: An analysis of changes in manufacturing employment and output internationally," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 33(3), pages 433-466, May.
    21. Mohamed A. M. Sallam & Mohamed R. Neffati, 2019. "Estimation and Analysis of the Output Gap for the Saudi Economy; Econometric Study (1970-2016)," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 267-284, February.
    22. Soytas, Ugur & Sari, Ramazan, 2007. "The relationship between energy and production: Evidence from Turkish manufacturing industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1151-1165, November.
    23. Xiaolan Fu, 2004. "Exports, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Development in China," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-51483-6, October.
    24. Stephen Redding & James Proudman, 1998. "Productivity convergence and international openness," Bank of England working papers 77, Bank of England.
    25. Duc Hong Vo & Anh The Vo & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2019. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Disaggregated Manufacturing Exports: Evidence from an Emerging Country," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, January.
    26. repec:aer:wpaper:127 is not listed on IDEAS
    27. Shyh-Wei Chen & Zixiong Xie & Ying Liao, 2018. "Energy consumption promotes economic growth or economic growth causes energy use in China? A panel data analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1019-1043, November.
    28. Adam B. Elhiraika & Ousman Aboubakar & Kamaludeen Muhammad, 2014. "Promoting manufactuiring to accelerate economic growth and reduce growth volatility in Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 48(2), pages 1-20, April-Jun.
    29. Yamada, Hiroshi, 1998. "A note on the causality between export and productivity:: an empirical re-examination," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 111-114, October.
    30. Ghosh Dastidar, Sayantan, 2015. "Manufacturing and Trade Liberalisation of India: Continuing the Debate," MPRA Paper 61907, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Goran Vuksic, 2005. "Impact of foreign direct investment on Croatian manufacturing exports," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(2), pages 131-158.
    32. Geske Dijkstra, A., 2000. "Trade Liberalization and Industrial Development in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(9), pages 1567-1582, September.
    33. Nicholas Kaldor, 1961. "Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth," International Economic Association Series, in: D. C. Hague (ed.), The Theory of Capital, chapter 0, pages 177-222, Palgrave Macmillan.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Titus O. Awokuse, 2003. "Is the export-led growth hypothesis valid for Canada?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 126-136, February.
    2. Salman Haider & Aadil Ahmad Ganaie & Bandi Kamaiah, 2019. "Total Factor Productivity and Openness in Indian Economy: 1970–2011," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(1), pages 46-57, February.
    3. Mehdi Abid & Rafaa Mraihi, 2015. "Energy Consumption and Industrial Production: Evidence from Tunisia at Both Aggregated and Disaggregated Levels," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 6(4), pages 1123-1137, December.
    4. Gerard Bikorimana & Charles Rutikanga & Didier Mwizerwa, 2020. "Linking energy consumption with economic growth: Rwanda as a case study," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2020(2), pages 181-200.
    5. Fadzil, Atikah & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does export lead growth? evidence from Japan," MPRA Paper 109290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Li, Yonglin & Zuo, Zhili & Cheng, Yue & Cheng, Jinhua & Xu, Deyi, 2023. "Towards a decoupling between regional economic growth and CO2 emissions in China's mining industry: A comprehensive decomposition framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2007:i:7:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    9. He, Dong & Zhang, Wenlang, 2010. "How dependent is the Chinese economy on exports and in what sense has its growth been export-led?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 87-104, February.
    10. Emmanuel Buabeng & Enock Kojo Ayesu & Opoku Adabor, 2019. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Performance of Manufacturing Firms: An Empirical Evidence from Ghana," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 133-147, December.
    11. Ricardo A. López, 2005. "Trade and Growth: Reconciling the Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(4), pages 623-648, September.
    12. Sahoo, Auro Kumar & Sahoo, Dukhabandhu & Sahu, Naresh Chandra, 2014. "Mining export, industrial production and economic growth: A cointegration and causality analysis for India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 27-34.
    13. Narayan, Seema & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Mishra, Sagarika, 2010. "Investigating the relationship between health and economic growth: Empirical evidence from a panel of 5 Asian countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 404-411, August.
    14. Ofria, Ferdinando & Millemaci, Emanuele, 2010. "Kaldor-Verdoorn’s law and increasing returns to scale: a comparison across developed countries," MPRA Paper 30941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Eapen, Leena Mary & Nair, Sthanu R, 2021. "Electricity consumption and economic growth at the state and sectoral level in India: Evidence using heterogeneous panel data methods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Nela Vlahinic & Pavle Jakovac, 2014. "Revisiting the Energy Consumption-Growth Nexus for Croatia: New Evidence from a Multivariate Framework Analysis," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 8(4), December.
    17. Rahmi Cetin & Robert Ackrill, 2017. "Openness and Growth in Challenging Times: Analysing the trade-growth nexus for Slovakia," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2017/08, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
    18. Francois, Joseph & Nelson, Douglas & Grier, Kevin Blaine, 2004. "Globalization, Roundaboutness and Relative Wages," CEPR Discussion Papers 4406, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Fatbardha Morina & Eglantina Hysa & Uğur Ergün & Mirela Panait & Marian Catalin Voica, 2020. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth: Case of the CEE Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    20. Musonda, Anthony, 2008. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Non-Traditional Exports Performance: Zambia, 1965–1999," MPRA Paper 26952, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Yuan, Jia-Hai & Kang, Jian-Gang & Zhao, Chang-Hong & Hu, Zhao-Guang, 2008. "Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from China at both aggregated and disaggregated levels," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 3077-3094, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARDL; economic growth; Egypt; error correction; industry value-added; manufacturing.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:ijebaa:v:ix:y:2021:i:3:p:137-153. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ijeba.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.