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Who performs better? AVMs vs hedonic models

Author

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  • Agostino Valier

Abstract

Purpose - In the literature there are numerous tests that compare the accuracy of automated valuation models (AVMs). These models first train themselves with price data and property characteristics, then they are tested by measuring their ability to predict prices. Most of them compare the effectiveness of traditional econometric models against the use of machine learning algorithms. Although the latter seem to offer better performance, there is not yet a complete survey of the literature to confirm the hypothesis. Design/methodology/approach - All tests comparing regression analysis and AVMs machine learning on the same data set have been identified. The scores obtained in terms of accuracy were then compared with each other. Findings - Machine learning models are more accurate than traditional regression analysis in their ability to predict value. Nevertheless, many authors point out as their limit their black box nature and their poor inferential abilities. Practical implications - AVMs machine learning offers a huge advantage for all real estate operators who know and can use them. Their use in public policy or litigation can be critical. Originality/value - According to the author, this is the first systematic review that collects all the articles produced on the subject done comparing the results obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • Agostino Valier, 2020. "Who performs better? AVMs vs hedonic models," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(3), pages 213-225, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jpifpp:jpif-12-2019-0157
    DOI: 10.1108/JPIF-12-2019-0157
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jungsun Kim & Jaewoong Won & Hyeongsoon Kim & Joonghyeok Heo, 2021. "Machine-Learning-Based Prediction of Land Prices in Seoul, South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-14, November.
    2. Dieudonné Tchuente & Serge Nyawa, 2022. "Real estate price estimation in French cities using geocoding and machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 308(1), pages 571-608, January.
    3. Kristoffer B. Birkeland & Allan D. D'Silva & Roland Füss & Are Oust, 2021. "The Predictability of House Prices: "Human Against Machine"," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 24(2), pages 139-183.
    4. Takahiro Yoshida & Daisuke Murakami & Hajime Seya, 2024. "Spatial Prediction of Apartment Rent using Regression-Based and Machine Learning-Based Approaches with a Large Dataset," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(1), pages 1-28, July.

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