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Analyst coverage and future stock price crash risk

Author

Listed:
  • Guanming He
  • Lu Bai
  • Helen Mengbing Ren

Abstract

Purpose - Whether financial analysts play an effective role as information intermediaries and monitors has triggered a wide spread of debate among academics and practitioners to date. The purpose of this paper is to complement this debate by investigating the association between analyst coverage and firm-specific future stock price crash risk. Design/methodology/approach - Regression analysis is based on a large sample of US public firms and the crash risk measure of Huttonet al.(2009). Potential endogeneity concerns are alleviated by restricting the sample period to the post-Regulation-FD period and conducting an analysis of the impact threshold for a confounding variable method per Larcker and Rusticus (2010). Findings - Evidence reveals that a high level of analyst coverage is associated with lower future stock price crash risk. Furthermore, the negative association between analyst coverage and stock price crash risk is stronger for firms that have high financial opacity. Additionally, analyst forecast pessimism is negatively associated with future crash risk. Research limitations/implications - Our research provides evidence in support for the view that financial analysts play an active information intermediary role in a way that increases information transparency of a firm and reduces its crash risk. Also, our study offers support for the view that analysts perform an effective monitoring role in a way that constraints management’s bad news hoarding activities and reduces future crash risk. Practical implications - This study is of interest to investors who seek analyst reports for their investment decision making and for information providers who demand external financing. The findings of this study also have some other important implications for practitioners, given the economic and welfare consequences of stock price crashes. Originality/value - This study offers support for the view that analysts serve positive roles as information intermediaries and monitors in the US stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Guanming He & Lu Bai & Helen Mengbing Ren, 2019. "Analyst coverage and future stock price crash risk," Journal of Applied Accounting Research, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 20(1), pages 63-77, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jaarpp:jaar-09-2017-0096
    DOI: 10.1108/JAAR-09-2017-0096
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    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jung, Hail & Song, Chang-Keun, 2023. "Managerial perspectives on climate change and stock price crash risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    2. Sebastian Klaudiusz Tomczak & Anna Skowrońska-Szmer & Jan Jakub Szczygielski, 2020. "Is Investing in Companies Manufacturing Solar Components a Lucrative Business? A Decision Tree Based Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-27, January.
    3. Wenbing Luo & Ziyan Tian & Xusheng Fang & Mingjun Deng, 2024. "Can good ESG performance reduce stock price crash risk? Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(3), pages 1469-1492, May.
    4. Yang, Mo & Dong, Dayong & Xia, Guoen, 2024. "Risk disclosure and stock price crash risk: Evidence from Chinese listed firms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    5. Guanming He & Helen Mengbing Ren & Richard Taffler, 2021. "Do corporate insiders trade on future stock price crash risk?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1561-1591, May.
    6. Li, Yi & Wang, Pengfei & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Does online interaction between firms and investors reduce stock price crash risk?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(4).
    7. Guanming He & Helen Mengbing Ren & Richard Taffler, 2022. "Do enhanced derivative disclosures work? An informational perspective," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 24-60, January.
    8. He, Guanming & Li, April Zhichao, 2024. "Does media coverage of firms' environment, social, and governance (ESG) incidents affect analyst coverage and forecasts? A risk perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    9. Guanming He, 2021. "Credit rating, post‐earnings‐announcement drift, and arbitrage from transient institutions," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(7-8), pages 1434-1467, July.
    10. Marina Checa-Olivas & Bladimir de la Hoz-Rosales & Rafael Cano-Guervos, 2021. "The Impact of Employment Quality and Housing Quality on Human Development in the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12, January.
    11. Alexandra Horobet & Georgiana Vrinceanu & Consuela Popescu & Lucian Belascu, 2019. "Oil Price and Stock Prices of EU Financial Companies: Evidence from Panel Data Modeling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-17, October.
    12. Zhe Ouyang & Ruixue Lv & Yang Liu, 2023. "Can corporate social responsibility protect firm value during corporate environmental violation events?," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(4), pages 1942-1952, July.
    13. He, Feng & Feng, Yaqian & Hao, Jing, 2022. "Information disclosure source, investors’ searching and stock price crash risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monitoring; Analyst following; Information intermediary; Financial opacity; Stock price crashes; G14; G29;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

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