IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eme/imefmp/imefm-01-2020-0007.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Brexit on Islamic stock markets: employing MGARCH-DCC and wavelet correlation analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Burak Çıkıryel
  • Hakan Aslan
  • Mücahit Özdemir

Abstract

Purpose - This paper aims to study the co-movement dynamics of Islamic equity returns to explain international portfolio diversification opportunities for investors having a heterogeneous stock holding period in light of Brexit. Design/methodology/approach - The authors use the following three recent methodologies: the multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic-dynamic conditional correlations, continuous wavelet transforms and maximum overlap discrete wavelet transform. Dow Jones Islamic country-based indexes are used from 2 September 2013 to 31 December 2019. Findings - There is a high correlation between the United Kingdom (UK) Islamic stock market return with the Canadian, USA, Malaysian and Indian implying lesser diversification benefits for the investors. However, the results tend to indicate that UK Islamic stock market investors who have allocated their investment in Sri Lanka, Kuwait, Japan and Turkey have enjoyed diversification benefits. Besides, there is a declining correlation between UK Islamic stock markets and other selected markets aftermath of Brexit. Turkey seems the most volatile stock over the period, appealing to risk-lover investors to gain from price changes. When the shock occurs in the financial sector, the volatility is mean-reverting faster than other markets in Sri Lanka. On the other hand, Malaysia appears to have the least volatility implying a stable financial sector. Research limitations/implications - The results tend to shed light on effective portfolio diversification benefits in light of the recent shock (Brexit) between the UK Islamic stock index and other selected indexes that vary from country to country depending on investment horizons. This critically confirms the significance of heterogeneity in investment horizons and provides significant inferences for portfolio diversification strategies. Originality/value - To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first study investigating the Brexit effect on Islamic stocks, guiding Shariah sensitive investors in their diversification strategies, providing information to investors to consider the implications of this incident on Islamic stocks for future shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Burak Çıkıryel & Hakan Aslan & Mücahit Özdemir, 2021. "Impact of Brexit on Islamic stock markets: employing MGARCH-DCC and wavelet correlation analysis," International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(1), pages 179-202, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:imefmp:imefm-01-2020-0007
    DOI: 10.1108/IMEFM-01-2020-0007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IMEFM-01-2020-0007/full/html?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IMEFM-01-2020-0007/full/pdf?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1108/IMEFM-01-2020-0007?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Masih, Rumi & Masih, Mansur & Alhabshi, Syed Othman, 2014. "Stock market co-movements: Islamic versus conventional equity indices with multi-timescales analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 553-571.
    2. Brian H. Boyer & Tomomi Kumagai & Kathy Yuan, 2006. "How Do Crises Spread? Evidence from Accessible and Inaccessible Stock Indices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 957-1003, April.
    3. Pesaran, Bahram & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2007. "Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution," IZA Discussion Papers 2906, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Schiereck, D. & Kiesel, F. & Kolaric, S., 2016. "Brexit: (Not) another Lehman moment for banks?," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 82881, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    5. Zhu, Xueqin & van Ierland, Ekko, 2006. "The enlargement of the European Union: Effects on trade and emissions of greenhouse gases," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 1-14, April.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran & Bahram Pesaran, 2007. "Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution," CESifo Working Paper Series 2056, CESifo.
    7. Adesina, Tola, 2017. "Estimating volatility persistence under a Brexit-vote structural break," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 65-68.
    8. Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury & Md. Mahmudul Haque & Mansur Masih, 2017. "Re-Examining the Determinants of Islamic Bank Performance: New Evidence from Dynamic GMM, Quantile Regression, and Wavelet Coherence Approaches," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1519-1534, July.
    9. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Markov-switching regimes and the monetary model of exchange rate determination: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 707-723.
    10. Zhong, Ming & Chang,Tsangyao & Tzeng, Han-Wen, 2014. "International Equity Diversification Between the United States and Brics Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 123-138, March.
    11. Egger, Peter & Larch, Mario & Pfaffermayr, Michael & Walde, Janette, 2008. "The EU's attitude towards Eastern Enlargement in space," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 142-156, March.
    12. Gençay, Ramazan & Selçuk, Faruk & Whitcher, Brandon, 2001. "Differentiating intraday seasonalities through wavelet multi-scaling," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 289(3), pages 543-556.
    13. Chiang, Thomas C. & Jeon, Bang Nam & Li, Huimin, 2007. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1206-1228, November.
    14. Syed Faiq Najeeb & Obiyathulla Bacha & Mansur Masih, 2015. "Does Heterogeneity in Investment Horizons Affect Portfolio Diversification? Some Insights Using M-GARCH-DCC and Wavelet Correlation Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 188-208, January.
    15. Oehler, Andreas & Horn, Matthias & Wendt, Stefan, 2017. "Brexit: Short-term stock price effects and the impact of firm-level internationalization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 175-181.
    16. Schiereck, Dirk & Kiesel, Florian & Kolaric, Sascha, 2016. "Brexit: (Not) another Lehman moment for banks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 291-297.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Akbar, Muhammad & Ullah, Ihsan & Ali, Shahid & Rehman, Naser, 2024. "Adaptive market hypothesis: A comparison of Islamic and conventional stock indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 460-477.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rahim, Adam Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Portfolio diversification benefits of Islamic investors with their major trading partners: Evidence from Malaysia based on MGARCH-DCC and wavelet approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 425-438.
    2. Bashir, Usman & Zebende, Gilney Figueira & Yu, Yugang & Hussain, Muntazir & Ali, Ahmed & Abbas, Ghulam, 2019. "Differential market reactions to pre and post Brexit referendum," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 151-158.
    3. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Haroon, Omair, 2020. "Impact of Brexit vote on the London stock exchange: A sectorial analysis of its volatility and efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    4. Dao, Thong M. & McGroarty, Frank & Urquhart, Andrew, 2019. "The Brexit vote and currency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 153-164.
    5. Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2018. "Impact of the Brexit vote announcement on long-run market performance," CEE-M Working Papers hal-01954920, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    6. Lim, Siok Jin, 2020. "Portfolio diversification opportunities for U.S. Islamic investors with its trading partners when the world catches a cold: A Multivariate-GARCH and wavelet approach," MPRA Paper 103295, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi, 2018. "Are UK industries resilient in dealing with uncertainty? The case of Brexit," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 15(2), pages 277-292, December.
    8. Yao, Hongxing & Memon, Bilal Ahmed, 2019. "Network topology of FTSE 100 Index companies: From the perspective of Brexit," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1248-1262.
    9. Buriev, Abdul Aziz & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Impact of Arab uprising on Portfolio diversification benefits at different investment horizons for the Turkish investors in relation to the regional stock markets: Multivariate GARCH-DCC and Wavelet c," MPRA Paper 65233, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Andreas Seebeck & Julia Vetter, 2022. "Not Just a Gender Numbers Game: How Board Gender Diversity Affects Corporate Risk Disclosure," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 177(2), pages 395-420, May.
    11. Andrikopoulos, Athanasios & Dassiou, Xeni & Zheng, Min, 2020. "Exchange-rate exposure and Brexit: The case of FTSE, DAX and IBEX," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Rahim, Adam Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Portfolio Diversification Benefits of Islamic Stocks and Malaysia’s Major Trading Partners:MGARCH-DCC and Wavelet Correlation Approaches," MPRA Paper 58903, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Júlio Lobão & Sílvia Santos, 2019. "Stock Market Reaction To Brexit Announcements: Evidence From A Natural Experiment," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(03), pages 1-17, September.
    14. Nikola Gradojevic, 2021. "Brexit and foreign exchange market expectations: Could it have been predicted?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 167-189, February.
    15. Sanjay Sehgal & Piyush Pandey & Florent Deisting, 2018. "Stock Market Integration Dynamics and its Determinants in the East Asian Economic Community Region," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(2), pages 389-425, June.
    16. Michael Filletti, 2020. "Investigating the influence Brexit had on Financial Markets, in particular the GBP/EUR exchange rate," Papers 2003.05895, arXiv.org.
    17. Cavit Pakel & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard & Robert F. Engle, 2021. "Fitting Vast Dimensional Time-Varying Covariance Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 652-668, July.
    18. Park, Beum-Jo & Kim, Myung-Joong, 2017. "A Dynamic Measure of Intentional Herd Behavior in Financial Markets," MPRA Paper 82025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Ballester, Laura & Díaz-Mendoza, Ana Carmen & González-Urteaga, Ana, 2019. "A systematic review of sovereign connectedness on emerging economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 157-163.
    20. Sirine Toumi, 2019. "Co-movements amongst Gold and Oil: A Multivariate Time-Varying Asymmetric Approach," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 9(3-4), pages 52-68.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Islamic finance; Wavelet correlation; Brexit; MGARCH-DCC; C58; G15; G11; Z12; C22;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eme:imefmp:imefm-01-2020-0007. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Emerald Support (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.