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Can interaction contribute to the explanation of business cycles?

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  • Orlando Gomes

Abstract

Purpose - Recent literature has been able to include into standard optimal growth models some hypotheses that allow for the generation of endogenous long‐run fluctuations. This paper aims to contribute to this endogenous business cycles literature by considering social interactions. Design/methodology/approach - The paper is essentially theoretical and it develops a growth/cycles model, in which social interactions play a relevant role. In the proposed model, individuals can choose, under a discrete choice rule, to which social group they prefer to belong. This selection process is constrained essentially by the dimension of the group, which is the main determinant regarding the utility individuals withdraw from social interaction. The proposed set‐up implies the presence of cycles and chaotic motion describing the evolution of group dimension over time. Findings - Because being a member of a group involves costs to households, the inclusion of these costs in a standard Ramsey growth model will imply that endogenous cycles might arise in the time trajectory of the growth rate of output. Research limitations/implications - The model treats the possible effect of interaction among agents in a social context as a source of fluctuations. Obviously, it is not claimed that this is the only or the single most relevant cause for cycles. Thus, it should be used in future work as an additional factor to take into account in more comprehensive growth analyses. Practical implications - If the utility withdrawn from belonging to different social groups is a relevant source of macroeconomic instability, relevant policy guidelines could emerge from the understanding of such a causality link. Originality/value - The paper goes beyond the traditional approach to cycles as triggered by monetary or fiscal policy, markets inefficiency, price sluggishness or some sort of real disturbances.

Suggested Citation

  • Orlando Gomes, 2008. "Can interaction contribute to the explanation of business cycles?," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(3), pages 159-173, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijsepp:v:35:y:2008:i:3:p:159-173
    DOI: 10.1108/03068290810847842
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Orlando Gomes, . "Volatility, Heterogeneous Agents and Chaos," The Electronic Journal of Evolutionary Modeling and Economic Dynamics, IFReDE - Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
    2. Orlando Gomes, 2006. "Local Bifurcations and Global Dynamics in a Solow-type Endogenous Business Cycles Model," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 7(1), pages 91-127, May.
    3. C. Castaldi & F. Alkemade, 2004. "An agent-based model of directed advertising on a social network," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 221, Society for Computational Economics.
    4. Day, Richard H, 1982. "Irregular Growth Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 406-414, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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