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An econometric model of the determinants of private investment and a CGE model of the impact of democracy on investment and economic growth in Fiji

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to construct an econometric model of the determinants of private investment with a particular focus on the impact of democracy on investment. Design/methodology/approach - The first step was to econometrically derive the long‐run elasticities; then to modify the Fiji computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to incorporate the investment function. Also the econometrically derived long run elasticities in the CGE model were used. Findings - It was found that democracy has a positive and statistically significant impact on private investment in Fiji. The paper's simulation of Fiji becoming a fully democratic country on investment and other macroeconomic fundamentals, based on a CGE model, reveals that real gross domestic product and real national welfare increase by around 0.01 and 0.05 per cent, respectively; government savings and revenue performance improves; there is a trade balance surplus; and both private consumption and disposable income increase by around 0.05 and 0.12 per cent, respectively. Originality/value - This is the first study that uses a CGE model to examine the impact of democracy, via investment, on other macroeconomic fundaments. No other study is known to have modelled democracy in a CGE framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2008. "An econometric model of the determinants of private investment and a CGE model of the impact of democracy on investment and economic growth in Fiji," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(12), pages 1017-1031, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijsepp:v:35:y:2008:i:12:p:1017-1031
    DOI: 10.1108/03068290810911525
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Smyth, Russell, 2005. "The residential demand for electricity in Australia: an application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 467-474, March.
    2. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Russell Smyth, 2003. "Attendance and pricing at sporting events: empirical results from Granger Causality Tests for the Melbourne Cup," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(15), pages 1649-1657.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samuel Kwabena Obeng & Linda Akoto & Felicia Acquah, 2018. "Democracy, Globalization and Private Investment in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 1-20, February.
    2. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.

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