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Uncertainties, monetary policy and financial stability: challenges on inflation targeting

Author

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  • Gabriel Caldas Montes

Abstract

This work aims at presenting the challenges that inflation targeting central banks may face since uncertainties represent a harmful element for the effectiveness of monetary policy, and since financial instabilities may disturb the transmission mechanisms – in particular, the expectation channel – and thus the economic stability. Financial stability must not be considered as a simple goal of monetary policy, but a precondition for central banks operate their policies and reach the goals of inflation and output stability. The work identifies different sources of uncertainties that surround central banks’ decisions; and approaches the role that inflation targeting central banks should play according to some basic principles that can serve as useful guides for central banks to help them achieve successful outcomes in their conduct of monetary policy. JEL classification: E52; E58; E61.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2010. "Uncertainties, monetary policy and financial stability: challenges on inflation targeting," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 30(1), pages 89-111.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:89-111:id:432
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ana Jordânia De Oliveira & Gabriel Caldas Montes & Rodolfo Nicolay, 2018. "Fiscal Credibility And Central Bank Credibility: How Do We Build Them? Empirical Evidence From Brazil," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 43, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Ferreira, Caio Ferrari, 2020. "Does monetary policy credibility mitigate the fear of floating?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 76-87.
    3. Gabriel Barros Tavares Peixoto & Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2014. "Risk-Taking Channel, Bank Lendingchannel And The “Paradox Of Credibility”: Empirical Evidence For Brazil," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 030, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    4. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Júlio Cesar Albuquerque Bastos, 2013. "Economic policies, macroeconomic environment and entrepreneurs' expectations," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(3), pages 334-354, July.
    5. Meyer Danie Francois & Chipeta Chama & Camel Richard Thabang Mc, 2018. "An Analysis of the Effectiveness of Interest Rates to Facilitate Price Stability and Economic Growth in South Africa," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 63(3), pages 68-90, December.
    6. Malibongwe Cyprian Nyati, 2024. "Should Monetary Policy in South Africa Lean against the Wind by Targeting the Financial Cycle?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-20, June.
    7. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Peixoto, Gabriel Barros Tavares, 2014. "Risk-taking channel, bank lending channel and the “paradox of credibility”," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 82-94.
    8. Hyoungkun Park & Jong Dae Kim, 2020. "Transition towards green banking: role of financial regulators and financial institutions," Asian Journal of Sustainability and Social Responsibility, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    9. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caroline Cabral Machado, 2013. "Credibility and the credit channel transmission of monetary policy theoretical model and econometric analysis for Brazil," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 469-492, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    uncertainties; inflation targeting; monetary policy; financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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