IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ejn/ejefjr/v11y2023i3-4p144-158.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact Of Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, And International Trade In Selected Southern African Development Community (Sadc) Countries: An Ardl Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent Muziwakhile Mbongeleni Moloi

    (University of South Africa, South Africa)

Abstract

This study focuses on the impact of exchange rates, interest rates, and international trade in 12 selected Southern African Development Community (SADC) countries. The lack of studies from Africa that investigated the impact between exchange rate, interest rate, and international trade served as a catalyst for this study. Additionally, this study employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method to examine the impact of exchange rate, interest rate, and international trade for the period 2000 to 2021. Therefore, using the ARDL technique, the study found a significant negative impact between exchange rate and interest rate in the long run, while international trade had a positive but insignificant impact. Due to the negative exchange rate findings, this study concludes that the SADC countries must develop strategies to promote international trade, reduce trade deficits, and encourage economic growth. On the other hand, this study contributes to the intricate interplay of exchange rates, interest rates, and international trade in SADC by providing insights for policymakers to enhance economic stability and long-term growth ultimately benefiting the region's economy and society.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Muziwakhile Mbongeleni Moloi, 2023. "The Impact Of Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, And International Trade In Selected Southern African Development Community (Sadc) Countries: An Ardl Approach," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 11(3-4), pages 144-158.
  • Handle: RePEc:ejn:ejefjr:v:11:y:2023:i:3-4:p:144-158
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eurasianpublications.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/EJEF-11.3-4.4.1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bernoth, Kerstin & Herwartz, Helmut, 2021. "Exchange rates, foreign currency exposure and sovereign risk," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 117, pages 1-1.
    2. Nicita, Alessandro & Olarreaga, Marcelo & Porto, Guido, 2014. "Pro-poor trade policy in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 252-265.
    3. Foucault, Thierry & Pagano, Marco & Roell, Ailsa, 2013. "Market Liquidity: Theory, Evidence, and Policy," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199936243.
    4. Francois Cornelius Wehncke & Godfrey Marozva & Patricia Lindelwa Makoni, 2022. "Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investments and Official Development Assistance Nexus: Panel ARDL Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Ngondo, Mashilana & Khobai, Hlalefang, 2018. "The impact of exchange rate on exports in South Africa," MPRA Paper 85079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Moudatsou, Argiro K. & Garcia, Ana Saggioro, 2022. "International Trade and Growth Limitations: The case of Africa," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(3), June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Klova, Valeriia & Odegaard, Bernt Arne, 2018. "Equity trading costs have fallen less than commonly thought. Evidence using alternative trading cost estimators," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2018/4, University of Stavanger, revised 2019.
    2. Lakatos, Csilla & Laborde, David & Martin, Will, 2019. "The Incidence of Tariffs," Conference papers 333060, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Brambilla, Irene & Porto, Guido, 2016. "Trade, Poverty Eradication, and the Sustainable Development Goals," ADBI Working Papers 629, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    4. Maria Ludovica Drudi & Giulio Carlo Venturi, 2023. "Assessing the liquidity premium in the Italian bond market," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 795, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Georgios Georgiadis & Feng Zhu, 2019. "Monetary policy spillovers, capital controls and exchange rate flexibility, and the financial channel of exchange rates," BIS Working Papers 797, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Matthias Fengler & Winfried Koeniger & Stephan Minger, 2024. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy to the Cost of Hedging," CESifo Working Paper Series 11556, CESifo.
    7. Lawrence Edwards & Zaakirah Ismail & Godfrey Kamutando & Simbarashe Mambara & Matthew Stern & Fouche, 2022. "TheconsumerpriceeffectsofspecifictradepolicyrestrictionsinSouthAfrica," Working Papers 11036, South African Reserve Bank.
    8. Shuo Liu, 2024. "Social Optimal Search Intensity in Over-the-Counter Markets," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 53, pages 224-282, July.
    9. Hwang, Hae-shin & Jindapon, Paan, 2020. "Market making with convex quotes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    10. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Sam Langfield & Marco Pagano & Ricardo Reis & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Dimitri Vayanos, 2017. "ESBies: safety in the tranches," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 32(90), pages 175-219.
    11. Miriello, Caterina & Polo, Michele, 2015. "The development of gas hubs in Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 177-190.
    12. Brice Corgnet & Mark DeSantis & Christoph Siemroth, 2023. "Algorithmic Trading, Price Efficiency and Welfare: An Experimental Approach," Working Papers 2313, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    13. Mileris, Ričardas, 2023. "International Trade Between European Union and Africa: Current Trends and Economic Factors of Intercontinental Business Activity," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(1), January.
    14. Thomas A. P. de Boer & Cornelis Gardebroek & Joost M. E. Pennings & Andres Trujillo‐Barrera, 2022. "Intraday liquidity in soybean complex futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1189-1211, July.
    15. Idsardi, E.F. & Schalkwyk, H.D. & Viviers, W., 2015. "The Agricultural Product Space: Prospects for South Africa," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211752, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Zimmerman, Peter, 2020. "Blockchain structure and cryptocurrency prices," Bank of England working papers 855, Bank of England.
    17. Bernoth, Kerstin & Herwartz, Helmut & Trienens, Lasse, 2024. "Interest Rates, Convenience Yields and Inflation Expectations: Drivers of US Dollar Exchange Rates," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302351, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, revised 2024.
    18. Ingomar Krohn & Philippe Mueller & Paul Whelan, 2024. "Foreign Exchange Fixings and Returns around the Clock," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 541-578, February.
    19. Gehrig, Thomas & Haas, Marlene, 2014. "Lehman Brothers: What Did Markets Know?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Beyza Ural Marchand, 2019. "Inequality and Trade Policy: The Pro‐Poor Bias of Contemporary Trade Restrictions," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 65(S1), pages 123-152, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ejn:ejefjr:v:11:y:2023:i:3-4:p:144-158. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Esra Barakli (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.