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Household vulnerability as expected poverty in Vietnam

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  • Vo, Thang T.

Abstract

Vulnerability and poverty are distinct yet highly correlated. Using data sets extracted from Vietnam Household Living Standard Surveys for 2002, 2004 and 2006, this study analyzes vulnerability as expected poverty in Vietnam and becomes the first to adopt the reference line in a vulnerability measure, along with cross-sectional data. This study estimates the extent of vulnerability and analyses who the vulnerable are. In addition, this study investigates the link between dynamic poverty and vulnerability, something which has rarely been done. The results reveal that, (i) vulnerability estimated using the reference line is more appropriate than when estimated using the actual poverty line for poverty prediction in the case of Vietnam; (ii)ex ante vulnerability in previous periods might translate to ex post poverty in the following periods though both vulnerability and the incidence of poverty tend to fall over time; (iii) the vulnerability of the poor may trap them in poverty; and (iv) the vulnerability of the non-poor could propel them into poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Vo, Thang T., 2018. "Household vulnerability as expected poverty in Vietnam," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 10, pages 1-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wodepe:v:10-12:y:2018:i::p:1-14
    DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2018.04.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Chung Thanh Phan & Thang Tat Vo & Diem Thi Hong Vo, 2023. "Can microcredit reduce vulnerability to poverty? Evidence from rural Vietnam," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 608-629, February.
    2. Sunil Khosla & Pradyot Ranjan Jena, 2022. "Analyzing vulnerability to poverty and assessing the role of universal public works and food security programs to reduce it: Evidence from an eastern Indian state," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 2296-2316, November.
    3. Thang T. Vo & Dinh X. Nguyen, 2021. "Impact of Trade Liberalization on Household Welfare: An Analysis Using Household Exposure-to-Trade Indices," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(2), pages 503-531, January.
    4. Liquan Qu & Weidong Xiao & Weidong Gao, 2022. "Do Resettled People Adapt to Their Current Geographical Environment? Evidence from Poverty-Stricken Areas of Northwest Yunnan Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-20, December.
    5. Zhang, Yue & Wang, Wenxiong & Feng, Yanfei, 2022. "Impact of different models of rural land consolidation on rural household poverty vulnerability," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Vulnerability; Poverty; Reference line; Risks; Shocks; VHLSS; Vietnam;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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