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The future of walking in Europe: a Delphi project to identify expert opinion on future walking scenarios

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  • Tolley, Rodney
  • Lumsdon, Les
  • Bickerstaff, Karen

Abstract

There is increasing recognition of the importance of walking to the sustainability of cities, set against a continuing decline in everyday walking. This paper reports on a research project, which predicts trends in walking in Europe by 2010 by seeking opinion of experts who are knowledgeable about non-motorised transport. There is a consensus that there will be more walking for leisure and health, but less everyday walking. This will happen despite walking being seen as more important and there being more facilities, infrastructure, information and funding for walking.

Suggested Citation

  • Tolley, Rodney & Lumsdon, Les & Bickerstaff, Karen, 2001. "The future of walking in Europe: a Delphi project to identify expert opinion on future walking scenarios," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 307-315, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:307-315
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John F. Preble, 1984. "The selection of delphi panels for strategic planning purposes," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 157-170, April.
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    1. Lukas Adam & Tim Jones & Marco Brömmelstroet, 2020. "Planning for cycling in the dispersed city: establishing a hierarchy of effectiveness of municipal cycling policies," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 503-527, April.
    2. Sajida Perveen & Md. Kamruzzaman & Tan Yigitcanlar, 2017. "Developing Policy Scenarios for Sustainable Urban Growth Management: A Delphi Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-27, October.
    3. Lyons, Glenn, 2020. "Walking as a service – Does it have legs?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 271-284.
    4. Soria-Lara, Julio A. & Ariza-Álvarez, Amor & Aguilera-Benavente, Francisco & Cascajo, Rocío & Arce-Ruiz, Rosa M. & López, Cristina & Gómez-Delgado, Montserrat, 2021. "Participatory visioning for building disruptive future scenarios for transport and land use planning," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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