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The selection of delphi panels for strategic planning purposes

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  • John F. Preble

Abstract

Despite the popularity of the Delphi technique little scientific literature exists to help guide the strategic planner in its proper application. In an effort to fill part of that void a comparative test was conducted using both intracompany and intercompany Delphi panels to forecast future events in the socio‐political environment of business. The intent was to determine whether the two groups produced similar or different forecasts under virtually identical test conditions. Analysis of the data showed similarities in both the forecast estimates and the degree of consensus achieved across groups. Since strong similarities were demonstrated, the intracompany panel type is recommended to strategic planners based on its unique advantages.

Suggested Citation

  • John F. Preble, 1984. "The selection of delphi panels for strategic planning purposes," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 157-170, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:stratm:v:5:y:1984:i:2:p:157-170
    DOI: 10.1002/smj.4250050206
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    Cited by:

    1. Tolley, Rodney & Lumsdon, Les & Bickerstaff, Karen, 2001. "The future of walking in Europe: a Delphi project to identify expert opinion on future walking scenarios," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 307-315, October.
    2. Ian Masser & Paul Foley, 1987. "Delphi Revisited: Expert Opinion in Urban Analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 24(3), pages 217-225, June.
    3. Zeng, Michael A. & Koller, Hans & Jahn, Reimo, 2019. "Open radar groups: The integration of online communities into open foresight processes," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 204-217.
    4. Förster, Bernadette & von der Gracht, Heiko, 2014. "Assessing Delphi panel composition for strategic foresight — A comparison of panels based on company-internal and external participants," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 215-229.
    5. Tavana, M. & Kennedy, D. T. & Joglekar, P., 1996. "A group decision support framework for consensus ranking of technical manager candidates," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 523-538, October.

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