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On the estimation of temporal mileage rates

Author

Listed:
  • Wilson, R.E.
  • Anable, J.
  • Cairns, S.
  • Chatterton, T.
  • Notley, S.
  • Lees-Miller, J.D.

Abstract

Mathematical and computational techniques are developed for the analysis of annual roadworthiness (MOT) test data that the UK Department for Transport has placed in the public domain. This paper develops a new theory to estimate fine-scale temporal (e.g., monthly) variations in vehicle mileage at a population level – derived from coarse-scale (e.g., annual) mileage data at an individual vehicle level. Numerical time-stepping schemes are derived from the theory and are tested on synthetic data to permit comparison with a known ground-truth mileage rate. Finally, we consider first steps in applying the methods directly to the MOT data set.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilson, R.E. & Anable, J. & Cairns, S. & Chatterton, T. & Notley, S. & Lees-Miller, J.D., 2013. "On the estimation of temporal mileage rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 126-139.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:60:y:2013:i:c:p:126-139
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2013.06.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R.E. Wilson & S. Cairns & S. Notley & J. Anable & T. Chatterton & F. McLeod, 2013. "Techniques for the inference of mileage rates from MOT data," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 130-143, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chatterton, T. & Anable, J. & Cairns, S. & Wilson, R.E., 2018. "Financial Implications of Car Ownership and Use: a distributional analysis based on observed spatial variance considering income and domestic energy costs," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 30-39.
    2. Mattioli, Giulio & Philips, Ian & Anable, Jillian & Chatterton, Tim, 2019. "Vulnerability to motor fuel price increases: Socio-spatial patterns in England," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 98-114.
    3. Greg Marsden & Jillian Anable, 2021. "Behind the Targets? The Case for Coherence in a Multi-Scalar Approach to Carbon Action Plans in the Transport Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-18, June.
    4. Philips, Ian & Anable, Jillian & Chatterton, Tim, 2022. "E-bikes and their capability to reduce car CO2 emissions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 11-23.

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