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Rail track expansion in developing countries in the 1980s

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  • Looney, Robert E.
  • Frederiksen, Peter C.

Abstract

Per capita income, country size, and economic growth are often seen as being major determinants of rail track expansion in developing countries. However, we could not empirically verify these explanations for rail expansion using recent World Bank data for a set of 35 developing countries. Instead, a factor analysis suggested multilateral loans to have been important. A discriminant analysis indicated only four variables are needed to predict a country's correct grouping into either a high and low rail expansion group. Regression analysis indicates that 1970s investment offset 1980s investment for the entire sample and the high expansion group. For the low expansion group, a factor capturing the quality of life appears to be the most important predictor of rail investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Looney, Robert E. & Frederiksen, Peter C., 1998. "Rail track expansion in developing countries in the 1980s," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 131-136, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:34:y:1998:i:2:p:131-136
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed, Khalid & Bhattacharya, Mita & Qazi, Ahmer Qasim & Ghumro, Niaz Ahmed, 2021. "Transport infrastructure and industrial output in Pakistan: An empirical investigation," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Mizutani, Fumitoshi, 2024. "Empirical analysis of the factors behind rail infrastructure investment," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 244-254.

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