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A short-cut method for strategy optimisation using strategic transport models

Author

Listed:
  • Fowkes, A. S.
  • Bristow, A. L.
  • Bonsall, P. W.
  • May, A. D.

Abstract

This paper describes a methodology which permits optimal strategies for strategic transport models to be found by use of a limited number of model runs together with regression modelling of the resulting response surface. Typically, it will be the case that the number of policy variables is sufficiently large that the strategic model cannot be run for all possible combinations of their levels. Furthermore it can be very difficult to interpret the results from a large number of model runs where there are a lot of policy variables changing levels between runs. The proposed methodology models the response surface specifically in the locality of the optimum, thereby greatly clarifying what policy combinations should be further tested with the strategic model. A case study, for the city of Edinburgh, indicates that this methodology can identify improved strategies compared to conventional methods, even when the number of model runs used are far fewer than with the conventional methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Fowkes, A. S. & Bristow, A. L. & Bonsall, P. W. & May, A. D., 1998. "A short-cut method for strategy optimisation using strategic transport models," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 149-157, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:32:y:1998:i:2:p:149-157
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    Cited by:

    1. Vold, Arild, 2005. "Optimal land use and transport planning for the Greater Oslo area," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 548-565, July.
    2. Xiao, Weihua, 2005. "Evaluation of Resource Allocation Strategies in Incident Management Systems," 46th Annual Transportation Research Forum, Washington, D.C., March 6-8, 2005 208169, Transportation Research Forum.
    3. Jonsson, R. Daniel, 2008. "Analysing sustainability in a land-use and transport system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 28-41.

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