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The future of the mobile phone Internet: an analysis of technological trajectories and lead users in the Japanese market

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  • Funk, Jeffrey L.

Abstract

This paper uses the concepts of technological trajectories and lead users to forecast the future of the mobile phone Internet, which has seen substantial growth in Japan and Korea and to a lesser extent in Europe, the US and other parts of Asia. The author interviewed more than 100 firms that provide services, content, and technologies in the Japanese (and to a lesser extent in other mobile Internet markets) and asked them about their market, the technologies they supply or that impact on their market, and their lead users (both intermediate and final users). The author used this information to forecast the evolution of the market in seven content applications: multi-media mail, phones as portable entertainment players, mobile marketing for retailers and manufacturers, multi-channel shopping, navigation, phones for obtaining tickets and money, and mobile intranet applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Funk, Jeffrey L., 2005. "The future of the mobile phone Internet: an analysis of technological trajectories and lead users in the Japanese market," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-83.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:teinso:v:27:y:2005:i:1:p:69-83
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2004.10.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chen,Rong - DECIG, 2021. "A Demand-Side View of Mobile Internet Adoption in the Global South," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9590, The World Bank.
    2. Akematsu, Yuji & Shinohara, Sobee & Tsuji, Masatsugu, 2012. "Empirical analysis of factors promoting the Japanese 3G mobile phone," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 175-186.
    3. De Vries, Eline L.E. & Zhang, Sha, 2020. "The effectiveness of random discounts for migrating customers to the mobile channel," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 272-281.
    4. Kongaut, Chatchai & Bohlin, Erik, 2014. "Investigating mobile broadband adoption and usage: S case of smartphone in Sweden," 20th ITS Biennial Conference, Rio de Janeiro 2014: The Net and the Internet - Emerging Markets and Policies 106848, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    5. Chen, Chaojung & Watanabe, Chihiro & Griffy-Brown, Charla, 2007. "The co-evolution process of technological innovation—An empirical study of mobile phone vendors and telecommunication service operators in Japan," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 1-22.
    6. de Kerviler, Gwarlann & Demoulin, Nathalie T.M. & Zidda, Pietro, 2016. "Adoption of in-store mobile payment: Are perceived risk and convenience the only drivers?," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 334-344.
    7. Sahar Afshan & Arshian Sharif & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Muhammad M. Q. Abro & Rubeena Batool & Khalid Zaman, 2021. "The role of information and communication technology (internet penetration) on Asian stock market efficiency: Evidence from quantile‐on‐quantile cointegration and causality approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2307-2324, April.
    8. Srinuan, Chalita & Srinuan, Pratompong & Bohlin, Erik, 2011. "An analysis of mobile internet service in Thailand: Implications for bridging digital divide," 8th ITS Asia-Pacific Regional Conference, Taipei 2011: Convergence in the Digital Age 52326, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).

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