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Structural change in Chinese economy: Impacts on energy use and CO2 emissions in the period 2013–2030

Author

Listed:
  • Luukkanen, J.
  • Panula-Ontto, J.
  • Vehmas, J.
  • Liyong, Liu
  • Kaivo-oja, J.
  • Häyhä, L.
  • Auffermann, B.

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of the change of economic structure on the emissions and energy use in China. The study uses the ChinaLINDA model, a calculation framework especially well-suited for analyzing structural change and sectoral shifts in Chinese economy and industry. We illustrate the implications of the different economic development paths up to year 2030 regarding emissions, energy use and employment with a set of three scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Luukkanen, J. & Panula-Ontto, J. & Vehmas, J. & Liyong, Liu & Kaivo-oja, J. & Häyhä, L. & Auffermann, B., 2015. "Structural change in Chinese economy: Impacts on energy use and CO2 emissions in the period 2013–2030," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 303-317.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:94:y:2015:i:c:p:303-317
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.016
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Huanying Cui, 2016. "China s Economic Growth and Energy Consumption," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 349-355.
    2. Li, Qiang & Zhang, Wenjuan & Li, Huiquan & He, Peng, 2017. "CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry: A scenario analysis using system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 225-235.
    3. Irina Zabelina & Ekaterina Klevakina, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Economy of Cross-Border Regions of Russia and China," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1460-1467.
    4. Fei, Rilong & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Energy efficiency and production technology heterogeneity in China's agricultural sector: A meta-frontier approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 25-34.
    5. Khan, Ali Nawaz & En, Xie & Raza, Muhammad Yousaf & Khan, Naseer Abbas & Ali, Ahsan, 2020. "Sectorial study of technological progress and CO2 emission: Insights from a developing economy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    6. Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Dengfeng, Zhao & Filipiak, Beata Zofia & Bilan, Yuriy & Vasa, László, 2023. "Role of economic complexity and technological innovation for ecological footprint in newly industrialized countries: Does geothermal energy consumption matter?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Xu, Lei & Chen, Nengcheng & Chen, Zeqiang, 2017. "Will China make a difference in its carbon intensity reduction targets by 2020 and 2030?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 874-882.
    8. Ernesto Alberto Alvarez & Mika Korkeakoski & Ariel Santos Fuentefría & Miriam Lourdes Filgueiras Sainz de Rozas & Ramsés Arcila Padura & Jyrki Luukkanen, 2021. "Long-Range Integrated Development Analysis: The Cuban Isla de la Juventud Study Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    9. Panula-Ontto, Juha & Luukkanen, Jyrki & Kaivo-oja, Jari & O'Mahony, Tadhg & Vehmas, Jarmo & Valkealahti, Seppo & Björkqvist, Tomas & Korpela, Timo & Järventausta, Pertti & Majanne, Yrjö & Kojo, Matti , 2018. "Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 504-513.
    10. Myakshin, Vladimir, 2024. "The regional shifts in public employment: Russian Arctic," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 488-494.
    11. Jiang, Jingjing & Ye, Bin & Liu, Junguo, 2019. "Research on the peak of CO2 emissions in the developing world: Current progress and future prospect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 186-203.
    12. Cai, Jialiang & Yin, He & Varis, Olli, 2016. "Impacts of industrial transition on water use intensity and energy-related carbon intensity in China: A spatio-temporal analysis during 2003–2012," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1112-1122.
    13. Kaivo-oja, Jari & Roth, Steffen, 2015. "The Technological Future of Work and Robotics," EconStor Preprints 118693, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    14. Xiaoyang Sun & Baosheng Zhang & Xu Tang & Benjamin C. McLellan & Mikael Höök, 2016. "Sustainable Energy Transitions in China: Renewable Options and Impacts on the Electricity System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, November.

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