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Is growth declining in the service economy?

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  • Sasaki, Hiroaki

Abstract

This study extends (Baumol, 1967) two-sector (manufacturing and services) unbalanced growth model to analyze a situation in which, first, services are used for both final consumption and intermediate inputs in manufacturing production, and second, the productivity of the manufacturing and services sectors endogenously evolves. Using this model, we investigate how the employment share of services and economic growth rate evolve through time. Our results are summarized as follows. First, if the human capital accumulation function exhibits constant returns to scale with respect to per capita consumption of services, then we obtain a U-shaped relationship between the employment share of services and the economic growth rate. Second, if the human capital accumulation function exhibits decreasing returns to scale with respect to per capita consumption of services, we obtain an S-shaped relationship between the employment share of services and the economic growth rate: the economic growth rate decreases at first, begins to increase after some time, decreases again, and finally, approaches zero.

Suggested Citation

  • Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2020. "Is growth declining in the service economy?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 26-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:53:y:2020:i:c:p:26-38
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2020.01.004
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    4. Antonioli, Davide & Berardino, Claudio Di & Onesti, Gianni, 2023. "The intersectoral linkages and manufacturing productivity growth in Italian regions using the I-O approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 120-133.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Service economy; Economic growth; Endogenous productivity growth; Business services;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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