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Cramér asymptotics for finite time first passage probabilities of general Lévy processes

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  • Palmowski, Zbigniew
  • Pistorius, Martijn

Abstract

We derive the exact asymptotics of P(supu x) if x and t tend to infinity with x/t constant, for a general Lévy process X that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional renewal theorem of Höglund [Höglund, T., 1990. An asymptotic expression for the probability of ruin within finite time. Ann. Prob., 18, 378-389].

Suggested Citation

  • Palmowski, Zbigniew & Pistorius, Martijn, 2009. "Cramér asymptotics for finite time first passage probabilities of general Lévy processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(16), pages 1752-1758, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:79:y:2009:i:16:p:1752-1758
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. G. O. Roberts & C. F. Shortland, 1997. "Pricing Barrier Options with Time–Dependent Coefficients," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(1), pages 83-93, January.
    2. Bertoin, J. & Doney, R. A., 1994. "Cramer's estimate for Lévy processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 363-365, December.
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    1. Baurdoux, E.J. & Palmowski, Z. & Pistorius, M.R., 2017. "On future drawdowns of Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(8), pages 2679-2698.
    2. Baurdoux, Erik J. & Palmowski, Z & Pistorius, Martijn R, 2017. "On future drawdowns of Lévy processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84342, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Bäuerle, Nicole & Blatter, Anja, 2011. "Optimal control and dependence modeling of insurance portfolios with Lévy dynamics," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 398-405, May.

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