IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/soceps/v80y2022ics0038012121000355.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Preventing crimes against public health with artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Hongning
  • Ma, Sanjun

Abstract

Criminal acts that endanger public health have seriously threatened people's health and life. How to prevent such criminal acts from occurring has become the focus of attention from all walks of life. There are few studies on the prevention of crimes endangering public health, and the results are not satisfactory. With the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, machine learning algorithms are widely used in various fields. Based on the background of the times, this paper applies machine learning algorithms to the prevention research of crimes endangering public health, aiming to improve the efficiency of crime prevention. First of all, this paper establishes a predictive criminal behavior model based on support vector machine and random forest algorithm, and uses the model to analyze its performance. This article takes a certain city in our province as a specific investigation object, collects relevant case data of criminal acts endangering public health in the city from January to October 2018, and predicts criminal behaviors, and compares them with the actual crimes data collected later. At the same time, a random questionnaire survey was conducted on the citizens of this city to analyze the factors leading to crimes that endanger public health and their enthusiasm for participating in legislation. The experimental results show that Lagrangian interpolation can make the data set more complete, with a standard deviation of 1.19; the crime prediction model based on support vector machine and random forest algorithm can basically predict the incidence of crime, and the trend of its predicted data is basically consistent with the trend of actual data; 48.32% of the people believe that imperfect laws and regulations are the main reason for the frequent occurrence of crimes endangering public health, but only 18% are willing to actively participate in relevant legislation. The above results show that the prediction model established by artificial intelligence algorithm can effectively predict criminal behaviors that endanger public health and provide reliable data for prevention.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Hongning & Ma, Sanjun, 2022. "Preventing crimes against public health with artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:80:y:2022:i:c:s0038012121000355
    DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2021.101043
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038012121000355
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.seps.2021.101043?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    2. Blosnich, J.R. & Marsiglio, M.C. & Gao, S. & Gordon, A.J. & Shipherd, J.C. & Kauth, M. & Brown, G.R. & Fine, M.J., 2016. "Mental health of transgender veterans in US States with and without discrimination and hate crime legal protection," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 106(3), pages 534-540.
    3. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey, 2017. "Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 261-265, May.
    4. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2016. "Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameters," Papers 1608.00060, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
    5. Ryan Copus & Hannah Laqueur, 2019. "Entertainment as Crime Prevention: Evidence From Chicago Sports Games," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 20(3), pages 344-370, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Usman Ghani & Peter Toth & Fekete David & Eniko Varga & Zoltán Baracskai, 2024. "Social Impact Assessment in Urban Security Management Projects: A Case Study from Pakistan," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 13, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    2. Yoganathan, Vignesh & Osburg, Victoria-Sophie, 2024. "The mind in the machine: Estimating mind perception's effect on user satisfaction with voice-based conversational agents," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Huber Martin & Wüthrich Kaspar, 2019. "Local Average and Quantile Treatment Effects Under Endogeneity: A Review," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, January.
    4. Songul Cinaroglu, 2020. "Modelling unbalanced catastrophic health expenditure data by using machine‐learning methods," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 168-181, October.
    5. Mark Kattenberg & Bas Scheer & Jurre Thiel, 2023. "Causal forests with fixed effects for treatment effect heterogeneity in difference-in-differences," CPB Discussion Paper 452, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    6. Yuya Sasaki & Takuya Ura & Yichong Zhang, 2022. "Unconditional quantile regression with high‐dimensional data," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 955-978, July.
    7. Victor Chernozhukov & Carlos Cinelli & Whitney Newey & Amit Sharma & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2021. "Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine Learning," Papers 2112.13398, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    8. Esfandiar Maasoumi & Jianqiu Wang & Zhuo Wang & Ke Wu, 2024. "Identifying factors via automatic debiased machine learning," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 438-461, April.
    9. Guido W. Imbens, 2020. "Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality: Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1129-1179, December.
    10. Jushan Bai & Sung Hoon Choi & Yuan Liao, 2021. "Feasible generalized least squares for panel data with cross-sectional and serial correlations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 309-326, January.
    11. Xing, Lu & Han, DongHao & Hui, Xie, 2023. "The impact of carbon policy on corporate risk-taking with a double/debiased machine learning based difference-in-differences approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    12. Yong Bian & Xiqian Wang & Qin Zhang, 2023. "How Does China's Household Portfolio Selection Vary with Financial Inclusion?," Papers 2311.01206, arXiv.org.
    13. Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    14. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Guido Imbens, 2023. "Causal Models for Longitudinal and Panel Data: A Survey," Papers 2311.15458, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    15. Ricardo P. Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2023. "Machine learning advances for time series forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 76-111, February.
    16. Gazeaud, Jules & Khan, Nausheen & Mvukiyehe, Eric & Sterck, Olivier, 2023. "With or without him? Experimental evidence on cash grants and gender-sensitive trainings in Tunisia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    17. Falco J. Bargagli Stoffi & Kenneth De Beckker & Joana E. Maldonado & Kristof De Witte, 2021. "Assessing Sensitivity of Machine Learning Predictions.A Novel Toolbox with an Application to Financial Literacy," Papers 2102.04382, arXiv.org.
    18. Maximilian Maurice Gail & Phil-Adrian Klotz, 2021. "The Impact of the Agency Model on E-book Prices: Evidence from the UK," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202111, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    19. Francesco Decarolis & Cristina Giorgiantonio, 2020. "Corruption red flags in public procurement: new evidence from Italian calls for tenders," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 544, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Anna Baiardi & Andrea A. Naghi, 2021. "The Value Added of Machine Learning to Causal Inference: Evidence from Revisited Studies," Papers 2101.00878, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:80:y:2022:i:c:s0038012121000355. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/seps .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.