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Fuzzy multicriteria for developing a risk management system in seismically prone areas

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  • Vahdat, Kamran
  • Smith, Nigel J.
  • Amiri, G. Ghodrati

Abstract

Earthquakes pose a predominant risk to cities in seismically prone areas. This paper addresses the need to mitigate the exposure of cities to seismic risk in general and to existing and new build structures in particular. The many and complex factors to be considered require a form of Multi-Criteria Decision making system to be adopted. To cope with the interactions between socio-economic factors and the roles of multiple participants, criteria and alternatives the paper proposes the use of a fuzzy multi-criteria model. The fuzzy methodology forms the basis for the development of a composite fuzzy risk index for prioritizing different regions in Iran. The findings suggest that early risk assessments in seismically prone areas should be conducted in order to determine the multi-dimensional aspects of seismic risk including vulnerability and emergency response management.

Suggested Citation

  • Vahdat, Kamran & Smith, Nigel J. & Amiri, G. Ghodrati, 2014. "Fuzzy multicriteria for developing a risk management system in seismically prone areas," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 235-248.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:48:y:2014:i:4:p:235-248
    DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2014.05.002
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    1. Yoram Wind & Thomas L. Saaty, 1980. "Marketing Applications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(7), pages 641-658, July.
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    1. Iskender Peker & Ilker Murat AR & Ismail Erol & Cory Searcy, 2023. "Leveraging blockchain in response to a pandemic through disaster risk management: an IF-MCDM framework," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 642-667, June.
    2. Łuczak, Aleksandra & Kozera, Agnieszka, 2021. "A model to assess the development priorities of local administrations through the hierarchy of strategic factors," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 474-492.
    3. Karakoc, Deniz Berfin & Barker, Kash & González, Andrés D., 2023. "Analyzing the tradeoff between vulnerability and recoverability investments for interdependent infrastructure networks," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    4. Josiane Palma Lima & Juliana da Camara Abitante & Nívea Adriana Dias Pons & Clara Moreira Senne, 2019. "A Spatial Fuzzy Multicriteria Analysis of Accessibility: A Case Study in Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-19, June.
    5. Tien Ha Duong, My & Van Nguyen, Diep & Thanh Nguyen, Phong, 2019. "Using Fuzzy Approach to Model Skill Shortage in Vietnam’s Labor Market in the Context of Industry 4.0," MPRA Paper 103512, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 May 2020.

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