IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/soceco/v96y2022ics2214804321001464.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The role of social and psychological related soft information in credit analysis: Evidence from a Fintech Company

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Yao
  • Drabek, Zdenek
  • Wang, Zhengwei

Abstract

Improvements in the quality of information in credit appraisal are paramount to the greater efficiency of credit markets. The existing research to assess the role of soft information in credit markets has so far been very limited and inconclusive due to differences in approaches and methodological limitations. The aim of this paper is to discuss the role of social and psychological related soft information in predicting defaults in the P2P lending market and to assess the importance of such information in Fintech credit analysis. Using a unique dataset from the pioneer P2P lending platform RRDai.com and alternative models of testing, we compared the predictive performance of soft information, hard information and combined hard and soft information on defaults. The results show that soft information can provide valuable input into credit appraisals. Soft information shows high predictive power in our test, and combined with hard information, it increases the power of our model to predict defaults.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Yao & Drabek, Zdenek & Wang, Zhengwei, 2022. "The role of social and psychological related soft information in credit analysis: Evidence from a Fintech Company," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceco:v:96:y:2022:i:c:s2214804321001464
    DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2021.101806
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214804321001464
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.socec.2021.101806?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bertrand, Marianne & Karlan, Dean S. & Mullainathan, Sendhil & Shafir, Eldar & Zinman, Jonathan, 2005. "What's Psychology Worth? A Field Experiment in the Consumer Credit Market," Center Discussion Papers 28441, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
    2. Berger, Allen N. & Miller, Nathan H. & Petersen, Mitchell A. & Rajan, Raghuram G. & Stein, Jeremy C., 2005. "Does function follow organizational form? Evidence from the lending practices of large and small banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 237-269, May.
    3. DeYoung, Robert & Glennon, Dennis & Nigro, Peter, 2008. "Borrower-lender distance, credit scoring, and loan performance: Evidence from informational-opaque small business borrowers," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 113-143, January.
    4. Allen N. Berger & Gregory F. Udell, 2002. "Small Business Credit Availability and Relationship Lending: The Importance of Bank Organisational Structure," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(477), pages 32-53, February.
    5. Hirofumi Uchida, 2011. "What Do Banks Evaluate When They Screen Borrowers? Soft Information, Hard Information and Collateral," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 40(1), pages 29-48, October.
    6. Douglas W. Diamond, 1984. "Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 51(3), pages 393-414.
    7. Sumit Agarwal, 2010. "Distance and Private Information in Lending," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(7), pages 2757-2788, July.
    8. Gonzalez, Laura & Loureiro, Yuliya Komarova, 2014. "When can a photo increase credit? The impact of lender and borrower profiles on online peer-to-peer loans," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(C), pages 44-58.
    9. Nataliya Barasinska & Dorothea Schäfer, 2010. "Does Gender Affect Funding Success at the Peer-to-Peer Credit Markets?: Evidence from the Largest German Lending Platform," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1094, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    10. Sumit Agarwal & Brent W. Ambrose & Souphala Chomsisengphet & Chunlin Liu, 2011. "The Role of Soft Information in a Dynamic Contract Setting: Evidence from the Home Equity Credit Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(4), pages 633-655, June.
    11. Marianne Bertrand & Dean Karlan & Sendhil Mullainathan & Eldar Shafir & Jonathan Zinman, 2010. "What's Advertising Content Worth? Evidence from a Consumer Credit Marketing Field Experiment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(1), pages 263-306.
    12. Cuiqing Jiang & Zhao Wang & Ruiya Wang & Yong Ding, 2018. "Loan default prediction by combining soft information extracted from descriptive text in online peer-to-peer lending," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 511-529, July.
    13. Godbillon-Camus, Brigitte & Godlewski, Christophe, 2005. "Credit risk management in banks: Hard information, soft Information and manipulation," MPRA Paper 1873, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Grunert, Jens & Norden, Lars & Weber, Martin, 2005. "The role of non-financial factors in internal credit ratings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 509-531, February.
    15. Jeremy C. Stein, 2002. "Information Production and Capital Allocation: Decentralized versus Hierarchical Firms," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 1891-1921, October.
    16. Ning Ding & Hung-Gay Fung & Jingyi Jia, 2020. "Shadow Banking, Bank Ownership, and Bank Efficiency in China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(15), pages 3785-3804, December.
    17. Jimenez, Gabriel & Saurina, Jesus, 2004. "Collateral, type of lender and relationship banking as determinants of credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(9), pages 2191-2212, September.
    18. Berger, Allen N & Frame, W Scott & Miller, Nathan H, 2005. "Credit Scoring and the Availability, Price, and Risk of Small Business Credit," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(2), pages 191-222, April.
    19. Lea, Stephen E. G. & Webley, Paul & Walker, Catherine M., 1995. "Psychological factors in consumer debt: Money management, economic socialization, and credit use," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 681-701, December.
    20. Mingfeng Lin & Nagpurnanand R. Prabhala & Siva Viswanathan, 2013. "Judging Borrowers by the Company They Keep: Friendship Networks and Information Asymmetry in Online Peer-to-Peer Lending," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(1), pages 17-35, August.
    21. Khwaja, Asim Ijaz & Iyer, Rajkamal & Luttmer, Erzo F.P. & Shue, Kelly, 2009. "Screening in New Credit Markets: Can Individual Lenders Infer Borrower Creditworthiness in Peer-to-Peer Lending?," Scholarly Articles 4448882, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    22. Arvind Ashta & Djamchid Assadi, 2009. "An Analysis of European Online micro-lending Websites," Working Papers CEB 09-059.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    23. George A. Akerlof, 1970. "The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500.
    24. Huijuan Wang & Mengxia Yu & Lu Zhang, 2019. "Seeing is important: the usefulness of video information in P2P," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 59(S2), pages 2073-2103, November.
    25. George A. Akerlof & Rachel E. Kranton, 2000. "Economics and Identity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 115(3), pages 715-753.
    26. Dorfleitner, Gregor & Priberny, Christopher & Schuster, Stephanie & Stoiber, Johannes & Weber, Martina & de Castro, Ivan & Kammler, Julia, 2016. "Description-text related soft information in peer-to-peer lending – Evidence from two leading European platforms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 169-187.
    27. Wimboh Santoso & Irwan Trinugroho & Tastaftiyan Risfandy, 2020. "What Determine Loan Rate and Default Status in Financial Technology Online Direct Lending? Evidence from Indonesia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 351-369, January.
    28. Martin Chorzempa, 2018. "China Needs Better Credit Data to Help Consumers," Policy Briefs PB18-1, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    29. José María Liberti & Mitchell A. Petersen, 2018. "Information: Hard and Soft," NBER Working Papers 25075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Richard T. Thakor & Robert C. Merton, 2018. "Trust in Lending," NBER Working Papers 24778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Seth M. Freedman & Ginger Zhe Jin, 2011. "Learning by Doing with Asymmetric Information: Evidence from Prosper.com," NBER Working Papers 16855, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Carlos Serrano-Cinca & Begoña Gutiérrez-Nieto & Luz López-Palacios, 2015. "Determinants of Default in P2P Lending," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(10), pages 1-22, October.
    33. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
    34. Robert Order & Peter Zorn, 2000. "Income, Location and Default: Some Implications for Community Lending," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 28(3), pages 385-404.
    35. Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Marquez, Robert, 2004. "Information and bank credit allocation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 185-214, April.
    36. Horrigan, Jo, 1966. "Determination Of Long-Term Credit Standing With Financial Ratios," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 44-62.
    37. Michael Spence, 1973. "Job Market Signaling," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 87(3), pages 355-374.
    38. Jefferson Duarte & Stephan Siegel & Lance Young, 2012. "Trust and Credit: The Role of Appearance in Peer-to-peer Lending," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(8), pages 2455-2484.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hyunwoo Woo & So Young Sohn, 2022. "A credit scoring model based on the Myers–Briggs type indicator in online peer-to-peer lending," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, December.
    2. Chunling Li & Nosherwan Khaliq & Leslie Chinove & Usama Khaliq & Judit Oláh, 2023. "Consumers’ Perception of Risk Facets Associated With Fintech Use: Evidence From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rajkamal Iyer & Asim Ijaz Khwaja & Erzo F. P. Luttmer & Kelly Shue, 2016. "Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1554-1577, June.
    2. José María Liberti & Mitchell A. Petersen, 2018. "Information: Hard and Soft," NBER Working Papers 25075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Cerqueiro, Geraldo & Degryse, Hans & Ongena, Steven, 2011. "Rules versus discretion in loan rate setting," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 503-529, October.
    4. Davaadorj, Zagdbazar & Enkhtaivan, Bolortuya & Lu, Wenling, 2024. "The role of job titles in online peer-to-peer lending: An empirical investigation on skilled borrowers," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    5. José María Liberti & Mitchell A Petersen, 2019. "Information: Hard and Soft," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(1), pages 1-41.
    6. Lu, Haitian & Wang, Bo & Wang, Haizhi & Zhao, Tianyu, 2020. "Does social capital matter for peer-to-peer-lending? Empirical evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    7. Jagtiani, Julapa & Lemieux, Catharine, 2018. "Do fintech lenders penetrate areas that are underserved by traditional banks?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 43-54.
    8. Norden, L., 2015. "The Role of Banks in SME Finance," ERIM Inaugural Address Series Research in Management EIA-2015-062-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam..
    9. Maggie Rong Hu & Xiaoyang Li & Yang Shi, 2019. "Adverse Selection and Credit Certificates: Evidence from a P2P Platform," Working Papers id:13038, eSocialSciences.
    10. Yeujun Yoon & Yu Li & Yan Feng, 2019. "Factors affecting platform default risk in online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending business: an empirical study using Chinese online P2P platform data," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 131-158, March.
    11. Adair Morse, 2015. "Peer-to-Peer Crowdfunding: Information and the Potential for Disruption in Consumer Lending," NBER Working Papers 20899, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Hu, Maggie Rong & Li, Xiaoyang & Shi, Yang, 2019. "Adverse Selection and Credit Certificates: Evidence from a P2P Platform," ADBI Working Papers 942, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    13. Li, Jianwen & Hu, Jinyan, 2019. "Does university reputation matter? Evidence from peer-to-peer lending," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 66-77.
    14. Oleksandr Talavera & Haofeng Xu, 2018. "Role of Verification in Peer-to-Peer Lending," Working Papers 2018-25, Swansea University, School of Management.
    15. Djedidi-Kooli, Salima, 2009. "L’accès au financement des PME en France : quel rôle joué par la structure du système bancaire ?," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/8354 edited by Etner, François.
    16. Berger, Allen N. & Boot, Arnoud W.A., 2024. "Financial intermediation services and competition analyses: Review and paths forward for improvement," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    17. Delgado, J. & Salas, V. & Saurina, J., 2007. "Joint size and ownership specialization in bank lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3563-3583, December.
    18. Qizhi Tao & Yizhe Dong & Ziming Lin, 2017. "Who can get money? Evidence from the Chinese peer-to-peer lending platform," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 425-441, June.
    19. Hervé Alexandre & Aymen Smondel, 2010. "Substitution or complementarity between “soft” information and "hard" information : why and which effect on bank profitability ?," Post-Print hal-01622847, HAL.
    20. Beck, Thorsten & Degryse, Hans & De Haas, Ralph & van Horen, Neeltje, 2018. "When arm's length is too far: Relationship banking over the credit cycle," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 174-196.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:soceco:v:96:y:2022:i:c:s2214804321001464. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620175 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.