IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v66y2023ics0275531923001320.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spillovers from the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Yajie
  • Zhao, Longfeng
  • Zhu, Yipin
  • Chen, Lin
  • Wang, Gangjin
  • Wang, Chao

Abstract

We investigate dynamic integration and risk transmission among major global financial markets around the Russia-Ukraine conflict by implementing the TVP-VAR frequency model for both a high and a low-frequency band. We also employ wavelet coherence to supplement our analysis. Results show that (i) the global financial system is highly connected during the entire period, and the dynamic spillovers reach unprecedented heights on the day of the Russia-Ukraine conflict; (ii) Russia comes out as a spillover leader, whereas the geopolitical risk index, Dow Jones Commodity, and Bitcoin are the major targets of spillovers; and (iii) for the entire sample period, short-term connectedness gains much prominence. This study uncovers the real landscape of financial spillover effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which can help investors and policymakers manage the risk exposure and avoid unexpected losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Yajie & Zhao, Longfeng & Zhu, Yipin & Chen, Lin & Wang, Gangjin & Wang, Chao, 2023. "Spillovers from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:66:y:2023:i:c:s0275531923001320
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531923001320
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Iqbal, Najaf & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Suleman, Muhammed Tahir, 2022. "Quantifying the asymmetric spillovers in sustainable investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdollahi, Hooman & Junttila, Juha-Pekka & Lehkonen, Heikki, 2024. "Clustering asset markets based on volatility connectedness to political news," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Zhou, Xiaoran & Enilov, Martin & Parhi, Mamata, 2024. "Does oil spin the commodity wheel? Quantile connectedness with a common factor error structure across energy and agricultural markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Wu, Baoxiu & Liu, Fang, 2024. "Tail risk transmission from the United States to emerging stock Markets: Empirical evidence from multivariate quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Wang, Bo & Xiao, Yang, 2024. "Measuring spatial impacts and tracking cross-border risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 50-84.
    5. Balash, Vladimir & Faizliev, Alexey, 2024. "Volatility spillovers across Russian oil and gas sector. Evidence of the impact of global markets and extraordinary events," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    6. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2024. "Could the Russia-Ukraine war stir up the persistent memory of interconnectivity among Islamic equity markets, energy commodities, and environmental factors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Duan, Kun & Zhao, Yanqi & Urquhart, Andrew & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect with financial assets differently? The role of economic policy uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    3. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arfaoui, Nadia, 2023. "Exploring downside risk dependence across energy markets: Electricity, conventional energy, carbon, and clean energy during episodes of market crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    4. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Boubaker, Sabri & Mirza, Nawazish & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Interdependence of clean energy and green markets with cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Hoque, Mohammad Enamul, 2024. "Global uncertainty and the spillover of tail risk between green and Islamic markets: A time-frequency domain approach with portfolio implications," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1416-1433.
    6. Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh, 2021. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-24, February.
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Mohammad Rahim & Karim, Sitara & Assaf, Rima, 2023. "Tail risk transmission in technology-driven markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    8. Lin, Boqiang & Bai, Rui, 2021. "Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from global, oil importers, and exporters’ perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    9. Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Dogan, Eyup & Nel, J. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis, 2023. "Connectedness and spillovers in the innovation network of green transportation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    10. Sudeshna Ghosh & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2024. "The effect of world policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors on export-led growth for Japan: novel insights by wavelet local multiple correlation methods," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 3605-3633, August.
    11. Kamer-Ainur Aivaz & Ionela Florea Munteanu & Flavius Valentin Jakubowicz, 2023. "Bitcoin in Conventional Markets: A Study on Blockchain-Induced Reliability, Investment Slopes, Financial and Accounting Aspects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-20, November.
    12. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "The impact of economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks on bank credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    13. Qin, Yun & Hong, Kairong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhang, Zitao, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of geopolitical risks on energy returns and volatility under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Liu, Han & Yang, Peng & He, Yongda & Oxley, Les & Guo, Pengwei, 2024. "Exploring the influence of the geopolitical risks on the natural resource price volatility and correlation: Evidence from DCC-MIDAS-X model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2022. "Time and frequency spillovers between political risk and the stock returns of China's rare earths," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    16. Tian, Hao & Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty, infectious diseases-related uncertainty, crude oil volatility, and geopolitical risks on green bond prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    17. S. Lacárcel, Francisco Javier & González-Padilla, P. & Matos, Nelson & B. Correia, Marisol, 2024. "Bibliometric measurement of the resource curse and its implication for sustainable development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    18. Cepoi, Cosmin-Octavian & Anghel, Dan-Gabriel & Pop, Ionuţ Daniel, 2021. "Asymmetries and flight-to-safety effects in the price discovery process of cross-listed stocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 302-318.
    19. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    20. Shangwen Liu & Shijie Zhou & Hao Guan & Qian-Ming Zhang & Tong Qin & Jiarong Lin, 2023. "Research on Enterprise R&D Strategy of Product-Service Innovation Guided by Quality Preference," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia-Ukraine conflict; TVP-VAR; Risk spillover network; Frequency connectedness;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:66:y:2023:i:c:s0275531923001320. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.