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Financial intermediary leverage spillovers

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  • Serletis, Apostolos
  • Istiak, Khandokar

Abstract

Using quarterly data for the United States (over the period from 1983 to 2014) and state-of-the-art financial econometrics, we explore for spillovers and interactions among the leverage levels of broker-dealers, commercial banks, and shadow banks and their volatilities. The key contribution to the literature is the estimation of a trivariate VARMA, GARCH-in-Mean, BEKK model that allows for the interdependence among the three leverage series and their volatilities. We find that broker-dealers leverage is procyclical, that there are significant spillover ARCH and GARCH effects across financial intermediaries, and that the leverage of broker-dealers is a good predictor of future economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Serletis, Apostolos & Istiak, Khandokar, 2017. "Financial intermediary leverage spillovers," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 1000-1007.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:39:y:2017:i:pb:p:1000-1007
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Istiak, Khandokar & Serletis, Apostolos, 2020. "Risk, uncertainty, and leverage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 257-273.
    2. Apostolos Serletis & Khandokar Istiak, 2018. "Broker-dealer Leverage and the Stock Market," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 215-222, April.
    3. Istiak, Khandokar, 2019. "The nature of shadow bank leverage shocks on the macroeconomy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Leverage; Volatility; VARMA; GARCH-in-Mean model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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