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Interconnectivity and investment strategies among commodity prices, cryptocurrencies, and G-20 capital markets: A comparative analysis during COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war

Author

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  • Kumar, Sanjeev
  • Jain, Reetika
  • Narain,
  • Balli, Faruk
  • Billah, Mabruk

Abstract

Economic and political disorders have multidimensional impacts on all economies around the world. The global world has faced out COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, and now the Russian-Ukraine geopolitical crisis. This study investigates the nexus among commodities, crypto, and G20 capital markets along with risk and returns implications. To examine the impact, we applied the TVP-VAR technique suggested by Koop and Korobilis (2014), and Antonakakis, Chatziantoniou, and Gabauer (2020) by adjusting the framework of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012). The research findings reveal that a high level of connectedness was observed during Covid-19, which was persistent for a long period and has multidimensional impacts. More particularly, EU, Canada, France Germany, and the UK were the principal supplier of spillovers to other commodities, Bitcoin, and the remaining markets. During Geopolitical Crisis (here after GPC), conclusively it is observed that of USA, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Mexico, China, Indonesia, and Japan are the net receivers of the volatility spillovers and Russia, Germany, France, European Union, Italy, UK, Argentina, India, Australia, Turkey, Korea, and South Africa are the net transmitters of volatility spillovers. Interestingly, among net transmitters Argentina, South Africa and Turkey are suffered from high inflation and substantial budget deficits, considered as weak economies of G20. Portfolio weights has been increased dramatically during COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war. This research could be utilized to take investment, hedging, and diversification decisions about commodities, cryptocurrencies, and stocks, particularly in such turmoil situations with the help of connectedness and various hedging techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumar, Sanjeev & Jain, Reetika & Narain, & Balli, Faruk & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Interconnectivity and investment strategies among commodity prices, cryptocurrencies, and G-20 capital markets: A comparative analysis during COVID-19 and Russian-Ukraine war," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 547-593.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:88:y:2023:i:c:p:547-593
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.06.039
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    2. Salami, Monsurat Ayojimi & Tanrıvermiş, Harun & Tanrıvermiş, Yesim, 2024. "Influence of Ukraine invasion by Russia on Turkish markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    3. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Billah, Mabruk & Goodell, John W. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2024. "Examining connections between the fourth industrial revolution and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2024. "Risk synchronization in Australia stock market: A sector analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 582-610.
    5. Olivier Niyitegeka & Alexis Habiyaremye, 2024. "Financial Contagion between German and BRICS Stock Markets under Multiscale Scrutiny," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-19, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Russian-Ukraine war; G20; Bitcoin; Connectedness; TVP-VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination

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