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Evidence of contagion in global REITs investment

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  • Chang, Guang-Di
  • Chen, Chia-Shih

Abstract

This study examines evidence of contagion in global REITs returns over 2006–2010 using daily REITs indices for 16 countries. We apply a correlation coefficient analysis to determine whether between-country REITs return co-movements increase significantly following a crisis. We use an extreme value analysis based on semiparametric and nonparametric estimators to measure global REITs returns with univariate country-specific value-at-risks and multivariate between-country contagion. Applying the iterated cumulative sums of squares to test the timing of market panics, we find significant evidence of contagion in global REITs returns worldwide during the 2007–2009 global financial crisis.

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  • Chang, Guang-Di & Chen, Chia-Shih, 2014. "Evidence of contagion in global REITs investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 148-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:31:y:2014:i:c:p:148-158
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2013.12.005
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    Cited by:

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    2. Kim Hiang Liow & Qing Ye, 2018. "Regime dependent volatilities and correlation in international securitized real estate markets," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(3), pages 457-487, August.
    3. Masud Alam, 2024. "Volatility in U.S. Housing Sector and the REIT Equity Return," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(3), pages 505-544, October.
    4. Siti Marsila Mhd Ruslan, 2019. "The Financial Performance of Islamic Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Malaysia," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 15(1), pages 191-220.
    5. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Shimada, Junji & Li, Kui-Wai, 2016. "The impacts of the 2008 and 2011 crises on the Japan REIT market," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 30-40.
    6. Kola Ijasan & George Tweneboah & Maurice Omane-Adjepong & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2019. "On the global integration of REITs market returns: A multiresolution analysis," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1690211-169, January.
    7. Chang, Guang-Di & Cheng, Po-Ching, 2016. "Evidence of cross-asset contagion in U.S. markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 219-226.
    8. Malinda & Maya & Jo-Hui & Chen, 2022. "Testing for the Long Memory and Multiple Structural Breaks in Consumer ETFs," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(6), pages 1-6.
    9. Masud Alam, 2021. "Time Varying Risk in U.S. Housing Sector and Real Estate Investment Trusts Equity Return," Papers 2107.10455, arXiv.org.
    10. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2020. "The influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on asset-price discovery: Testing the case of Chinese informational asymmetry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Kola Ijasan & Peterson Owusu Junior & George Tweneboah & Tunbosun Oyedokun & Anokye M. Adam, 2021. "Analysing the relationship between global REITs and exchange rates: Fresh evidence from frequency-based quantile regressions," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(3), pages 58-91, September.
    12. Gu, Huaying & Liu, Zhixue & Weng, Yingliang, 2017. "Time-varying correlations in global real estate markets: A multivariate GARCH with spatial effects approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 460-472.
    13. Kanno, Masayasu, 2022. "Exploring risks in syndicated loan networks: Evidence from real estate investment trusts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    14. Liu, Jian & Chen, Yan & Liao, Shufei & Cheng, Cheng & Fu, Yongge, 2023. "Information spillovers in Hong Kong REITs and related asset markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 215-229.
    15. Morad, Shahidah Nailul & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Islamic REIT response to macroeconomic factors: a markov regime switching auto regressive approach," MPRA Paper 65237, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Abdullah, Mohammad & Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2023. "Extreme return and volatility connectedness among real estate tokens, REITs, and other assets: The role of global factors and portfolio implications," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    17. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Nonlinear contagion between stock and real estate markets: International evidence from a local Gaussian correlation approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2089-2109, April.
    18. Kyriaki Begiazi & Dimitrios Asteriou & Keith Pilbeam, 2016. "A multivariate analysis of United States and global real estate investment trusts," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 467-482, July.
    19. Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Gabriel O. Oduyemi & Johnson A. Oliyide, 2021. "Price and volatility persistence of the US REITs market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contagion; REITs; Iterated cumulative sums of squares; Extreme value theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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