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A time-varying perspective on the CAPM and downside betas

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  • Tsai, Hsiu-Jung
  • Chen, Ming-Chi
  • Yang, Chih-Yuan

Abstract

In the current study, we focus on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) beta and downside betas. The empirical results of market index returns in the international samples of 23 developed countries exhibit significant differences between the CAPM and downside betas, indicating that these models capture distinct risks. Considering autocorrelation variance, the DCC downside betas (HW-beta and HR-beta) more effectively explain the expected stock market returns than does the CAPM beta.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsai, Hsiu-Jung & Chen, Ming-Chi & Yang, Chih-Yuan, 2014. "A time-varying perspective on the CAPM and downside betas," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 440-454.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:29:y:2014:i:c:p:440-454
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2013.07.006
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    Cited by:

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    3. Ormos Mihály & Timotity Dusán, 2017. "The Case of “Less is More”: Modelling Risk-Preference with Expected Downside Risk," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-14, June.
    4. Mejda Dakhlaoui & Marjène Rabah Gana, 2015. "Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital: An Empirical Analysis in the Tunisian Context," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(2), pages 110-110, May.
    5. Anna Rutkowska-Ziarko, 2022. "Market and Accounting Measures of Risk: The Case of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, January.
    6. Chikashi Tsuji, 2017. "A Robust Estimation of the CAPM with a Heavy-tailed Distribution," International Journal of Social Science Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(5), pages 79-86, May.
    7. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Puch, Luis A. & Ramos-Real, Francisco J., 2015. "Mean-variance portfolio methods for energy policy risk management," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 246-264.
    8. Liu, Jinjing, 2023. "A novel downside beta and expected stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. José Soares Fonseca, 2020. "Portfolio selection in euro area with CAPM and Lower Partial Moments models," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 19(1), pages 49-66, January.
    10. Yew-Choe Lum & Sardar M. N. Islam, 2016. "Time Varying Behavior of Share Returns in Australia: 1988–2004," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 1-14, March.
    11. Anna Rutkowska-Ziarko & Lesław Markowski, 2022. "Accounting and Market Risk Measures of Polish Energy Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Downside beta; CAPM beta; Time-varying; DCC; Developed countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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