IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v78y2015icp26-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane yield in Pernambuco, northeastern region of Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Carvalho, André Luiz de
  • Menezes, Rômulo Simões Cezar
  • Nóbrega, Ranyére Silva
  • Pinto, Alexandre de Siqueira
  • Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud
  • von Randow, Celso
  • Giarolla, Angélica

Abstract

Sugarcane is a typical culture of hot and humid climate and therefore is well adapted to the climate in many regions of Brazil. However, there may be yield reductions in the Northeastern region of Brazil due to possible future reductions in rainfall levels. The aim of this study was to simulate, using the Century 4.5 model, the impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane yield in Goiana and Itambé, Zona da Mata of Pernambuco. The Century 4.5 model was booted with soil and climate data from 1950 to 2012. Data on total soil carbon, soil texture (sand, silt and clay contents), pH, soil density and soc stocks were obtained from previous studies. The climate scenario used was the average emissions SRES A1B, designed by Eta/CPTEC model for periods 2014–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100, which is composed of LOW member (low emissions) and HIGH member (high emissions). According to the results obtained by A1B scenario, the potential yield can be reduced in the near future (2014–2040). The high temperatures in northeastern Brazil will increase the evapotranspiration rates, reducing the amount of water available in the soil, making the planting of sugarcane increasingly difficult, which tend to be strongly reduced in drier areas, such as cities located in the western portion of the Zona da Mata region, northern state of Pernambuco, Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Carvalho, André Luiz de & Menezes, Rômulo Simões Cezar & Nóbrega, Ranyére Silva & Pinto, Alexandre de Siqueira & Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud & von Randow, Celso & Giarolla, Angélica, 2015. "Impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane yield in Pernambuco, northeastern region of Brazil," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 26-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:78:y:2015:i:c:p:26-34
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148114008507
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lucas Eduardo Oliveira Aparecido & Pedro Antonio Lorençone & João Antonio Lorençone & Kamila Cunha Meneses & José Reinaldo da Silva Cabral Moraes & Maryzélia Furtado Farias, 2022. "Soil water seasonal and spatial variability in Northeast Brazil," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 6136-6152, May.
    2. de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo & Marangon Lima, Luana M. & Marangon Lima, José W. & da Silva, Benedito C. & Scianni, Luciana A., 2016. "Climate change impacts in the energy supply of the Brazilian hydro-dominant power system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 379-389.
    3. de Moraes Barbosa, Alexandrius & Rebes Zilliani, Rafael & Tiritan, Carlos Sérgio & Maia Souza, Gustavo & de Almeida Silva, Marcelo, 2021. "Energy conversion efficiency in sugarcane cultivars as a function of production environments in Brazil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    4. Claudinei Oliveira dos Santos & Alexandre de Siqueira Pinto & Janete Rego da Silva & Leandro Leal Parente & Vinícius Vieira Mesquita & Maiara Pedral dos Santos & Laerte Guimaraes Ferreira, 2022. "Monitoring of Carbon Stocks in Pastures in the Savannas of Brazil through Ecosystem Modeling on a Regional Scale," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Pei Yao & Long Qian & Zhaolin Wang & Huayue Meng & Xueliang Ju, 2022. "Assessing Drought, Flood, and High Temperature Disasters during Sugarcane Growth Stages in Southern China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-18, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:78:y:2015:i:c:p:26-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.