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Evaluation and improvement of empirical models of global solar irradiation: Case study northern Spain

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  • Antonanzas-Torres, F.
  • Sanz-Garcia, A.
  • Martínez-de-Pisón, F.J.
  • Perpiñán-Lamigueiro, O.

Abstract

This paper presents a new methodology to build parametric models to estimate global solar irradiation adjusted to specific on-site characteristics based on the evaluation of variable importance. Thus, those variables highly correlated to solar irradiation on a site are implemented in the model and therefore, different models might be proposed under different climates. This methodology is applied in a study case in La Rioja region (northern Spain). A new model is proposed and evaluated on stability and accuracy against a review of twenty-two already existing parametric models based on temperatures and rainfall in seventeen meteorological stations in La Rioja. The methodology of model evaluation is based on bootstrapping, which leads to achieve a high level of confidence in model calibration and validation from short time series (in this case five years, from 2007 to 2011).

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  • Antonanzas-Torres, F. & Sanz-Garcia, A. & Martínez-de-Pisón, F.J. & Perpiñán-Lamigueiro, O., 2013. "Evaluation and improvement of empirical models of global solar irradiation: Case study northern Spain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 604-614.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:60:y:2013:i:c:p:604-614
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2013.06.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Antonanzas-Torres, F. & Cañizares, F. & Perpiñán, O., 2013. "Comparative assessment of global irradiation from a satellite estimate model (CM SAF) and on-ground measurements (SIAR): A Spanish case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 248-261.
    2. Almorox, J. & Hontoria, C. & Benito, M., 2011. "Models for obtaining daily global solar radiation with measured air temperature data in Madrid (Spain)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1703-1709, May.
    3. Rahimikhoob, Ali, 2010. "Estimating global solar radiation using artificial neural network and air temperature data in a semi-arid environment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2131-2135.
    4. Mora, Juan & Mora-López, Llanos, 2010. "Comparing distributions with bootstrap techniques: An application to global solar radiation," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(4), pages 811-819.
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    1. Yıldırım, H. Başak & Teke, Ahmet & Antonanzas-Torres, Fernando, 2018. "Evaluation of classical parametric models for estimating solar radiation in the Eastern Mediterranean region of Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2053-2065.
    2. Antonanzas-Torres, F. & Urraca, R. & Polo, J. & Perpiñán-Lamigueiro, O. & Escobar, R., 2019. "Clear sky solar irradiance models: A review of seventy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 374-387.
    3. Zou, Ling & Wang, Lunche & Xia, Li & Lin, Aiwen & Hu, Bo & Zhu, Hongji, 2017. "Prediction and comparison of solar radiation using improved empirical models and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 343-353.
    4. Urraca, R. & Martinez-de-Pison, E. & Sanz-Garcia, A. & Antonanzas, J. & Antonanzas-Torres, F., 2017. "Estimation methods for global solar radiation: Case study evaluation of five different approaches in central Spain," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1098-1113.
    5. Meenal, R. & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel, 2018. "Assessment of SVM, empirical and ANN based solar radiation prediction models with most influencing input parameters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 324-343.
    6. Zagouras, Athanassios & Kolovos, Alexander & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2015. "Objective framework for optimal distribution of solar irradiance monitoring networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 153-165.
    7. Teke, Ahmet & Yıldırım, H. Başak & Çelik, Özgür, 2015. "Evaluation and performance comparison of different models for the estimation of solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1097-1107.
    8. Prieto, Jesús-Ignacio & García, David, 2022. "Global solar radiation models: A critical review from the point of view of homogeneity and case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    9. Fan, Junliang & Chen, Baiquan & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Lu, Xianghui & Xiang, Youzhen, 2018. "Evaluation and development of temperature-based empirical models for estimating daily global solar radiation in humid regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 903-914.
    10. Dahmani, Kahina & Notton, Gilles & Voyant, Cyril & Dizene, Rabah & Nivet, Marie Laure & Paoli, Christophe & Tamas, Wani, 2016. "Multilayer Perceptron approach for estimating 5-min and hourly horizontal global irradiation from exogenous meteorological data in locations without solar measurements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 267-282.
    11. Jesús-Ignacio Prieto & David García & Ruth Santoro, 2022. "Comparative Analysis of Accuracy, Simplicity and Generality of Temperature-Based Global Solar Radiation Models: Application to the Solar Map of Asturias," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-29, May.
    12. Antonanzas-Torres, F. & Sanz-Garcia, A. & Martínez-de-Pisón, F.J. & Antonanzas, J. & Perpiñán-Lamigueiro, O. & Polo, J., 2014. "Towards downscaling of aerosol gridded dataset for improving solar resource assessment, an application to Spain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 534-544.

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