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Expected halt in the current global warming trend?

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  • Njau, Ernest C.

Abstract

The variation patterns of global temperature were considerably turbulent from about 1870 up to 1940. Then just after 1940 these patterns underwent a sunspot-related change and adopted to relatively less turbulent variability. It is established here that these global temperature patterns are currently in the process of undergoing a sunspot-related change from the post-1940 relatively less turbulent variability back into relatively more turbulent variability. This apparently imminent state of more turbulent variability is expected to stop and at least slightly reverse the global warming trend, which has been going on since about 1965. Besides, it is shown separately that the mean of ‘global mean temperature variations’ reaches the next peak at about the year 2005 after which it will expectedly be on a decreasing trend. Finally, it is shown that, contrary to projections made in the Third IPCC Assessment Report, Greenland is currently in an ongoing cooling trend which is expected to last up to at least the year 2035.

Suggested Citation

  • Njau, Ernest C., 2005. "Expected halt in the current global warming trend?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 743-752.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:30:y:2005:i:5:p:743-752
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2004.07.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Njau, Ernest C., 1997. "Climatic switches," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9.
    2. Njau, E.c, 1999. "Some causes of rapid changes in temperature patterns," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 157-166.
    3. Njau, Ernest C, 1999. "Technical note Some new characteristics of El Nino events," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 243-253.
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    Cited by:

    1. Njau, Ernest C., 2007. "Formulations of human-induced variations in global temperature," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(13), pages 2211-2222.

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