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Economic predictive control for isolated microgrids based on real world demand/renewable energy data and forecast errors

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  • Manzano, J.M.
  • Salvador, J.R.
  • Romaine, J.B.
  • Alvarado-Barrios, L.

Abstract

In this work, the operation of microgrids is studied, using real data for demand and renewable energy sources. A mixed integer nonlinear program to operate the microgrid is proposed, following a model predictive control methodology, which allows to enhance the economic performance by means of a predictive strategy. A comparison with other techniques without predictive feature nor forecast mismatches is made, showing that our method outperforms them by adapting the current control decision to future costly issues. The case study shows savings of more than 10%, analysing the qualitative aspects of the proposed strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Manzano, J.M. & Salvador, J.R. & Romaine, J.B. & Alvarado-Barrios, L., 2022. "Economic predictive control for isolated microgrids based on real world demand/renewable energy data and forecast errors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 647-658.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:194:y:2022:i:c:p:647-658
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.103
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    4. Marcelino, C.G. & Leite, G.M.C. & Wanner, E.F. & Jiménez-Fernández, S. & Salcedo-Sanz, S., 2023. "Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    5. Al-Quraan, A. & Al-Mhairat, B., 2024. "Economic predictive control-based sizing and energy management for grid-connected hybrid renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    6. Negri, Simone & Giani, Federico & Blasuttigh, Nicola & Massi Pavan, Alessandro & Mellit, Adel & Tironi, Enrico, 2022. "Combined model predictive control and ANN-based forecasters for jointly acting renewable self-consumers: An environmental and economical evaluation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 440-454.
    7. Wang, Yubin & Zheng, Yanchong & Yang, Qiang, 2023. "Optimal energy management of integrated energy systems for strategic participation in competitive electricity markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).

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