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Scientific foundations of addressing risk in complex and dynamic environments

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  • Grøtan, T.O.
  • Størseth, F.
  • Albrechtsen, E.

Abstract

Development, deployment and application of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and digital infrastructure continue with unabated intensity in the petroleum-related activity on the Norwegian shelf. This development towards what is denoted Integrated Operations (IO) creates new ways of organizing work, new work processes and increased automation, e.g. closer collaboration offshore–onshore, cooperation across organizational and geographical borders. This creates new challenges for managing risk. Although there are different versions of IO today, we argue that it is possible to identify and study generic properties within such IO manifestations. The current paper focus on the potential complexity of IO in the generic sense, and some scientific implications in terms of addressing risk. The paper uses the century-old metaphor of “wildness in wait†to engage the wide field of complexity theory in a productive way to address systemic properties of risk. The paper further uses the Cynefin sensemaking framework in order to identify and address the crucial distinction between directed (resultant) and un-directed (emergent) order. The paper finally discusses the importance of seeing risk assessment as a social knowledge practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Grøtan, T.O. & Størseth, F. & Albrechtsen, E., 2011. "Scientific foundations of addressing risk in complex and dynamic environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(6), pages 706-712.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:96:y:2011:i:6:p:706-712
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2010.12.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Etzioni, Amitai, 1986. "Rationality is anti-entropic," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 17-36, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marko J Djapan & Danijela P Tadic & Ivan D Macuzic & Predrag Dj Dragojovic, 2015. "A new fuzzy model for determining risk level on the workplaces in manufacturing small and medium enterprises," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(5), pages 456-468, October.
    2. Chołda, Piotr & Følstad, Eirik L. & Helvik, Bjarne E. & Kuusela, Pirkko & Naldi, Maurizio & Norros, Ilkka, 2013. "Towards risk-aware communications networking," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 160-174.
    3. Oedewald, Pia & Gotcheva, Nadezhda, 2015. "Safety culture and subcontractor network governance in a complex safety critical project," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 106-114.

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