IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v94y2009i7p1173-1182.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An adaptive design and interpolation technique for extracting highly nonlinear response surfaces from deterministic models

Author

Listed:
  • Shahsavani, D.
  • Grimvall, A.

Abstract

Response surface methodologies can reveal important features of complex computer code models. Here, we suggest experimental designs and interpolation methods for extracting nonlinear response surfaces whose roughness varies substantially over the input domain. A sequential design algorithm for cuboid domains is initiated by selecting an extended corner/centre point design for the entire domain, then updated by decomposing this domain into disjoint cuboids and taking the corners and centre of these cuboids as new design points. A roughness criterion is used to control the domain decomposition so that the design becomes space-filling and the coverage is particularly good in the parts of the input domain where the response surface is strongly nonlinear. Finally, the model output at untried inputs is predicted by carefully selecting a local neighbourhood of each new point in the input space and fitting a full quadratic polynomial to the data points in that neighbourhood. Test runs showed that our sequential design algorithm automatically adapts to the nonlinear features of the model output. Moreover, our technique is particularly useful for extracting nonlinear response surfaces from computer code models with two to seven input variables. A simple modification of the outlined algorithm enables adequate handling of non-cuboid input domains.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahsavani, D. & Grimvall, A., 2009. "An adaptive design and interpolation technique for extracting highly nonlinear response surfaces from deterministic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1173-1182.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:94:y:2009:i:7:p:1173-1182
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2008.10.013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183200800255X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2008.10.013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Storlie, Curtis B. & Helton, Jon C., 2008. "Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: Description of techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 28-54.
    2. Jeremy E. Oakley & Anthony O'Hagan, 2004. "Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(3), pages 751-769, August.
    3. Storlie, Curtis B. & Helton, Jon C., 2008. "Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: Example results," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 55-77.
    4. Craig P. S & Goldstein M. & Rougier J. C & Seheult A. H, 2001. "Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 717-729, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gatelli, D. & Kucherenko, S. & Ratto, M. & Tarantola, S., 2009. "Calculating first-order sensitivity measures: A benchmark of some recent methodologies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1212-1219.
    2. Blatman, Géraud & Sudret, Bruno, 2010. "Efficient computation of global sensitivity indices using sparse polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1216-1229.
    3. Storlie, Curtis B. & Reich, Brian J. & Helton, Jon C. & Swiler, Laura P. & Sallaberry, Cedric J., 2013. "Analysis of computationally demanding models with continuous and categorical inputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 30-41.
    4. Crestaux, Thierry & Le Maıˆtre, Olivier & Martinez, Jean-Marc, 2009. "Polynomial chaos expansion for sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1161-1172.
    5. Mirko Ginocchi & Ferdinanda Ponci & Antonello Monti, 2021. "Sensitivity Analysis and Power Systems: Can We Bridge the Gap? A Review and a Guide to Getting Started," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-59, December.
    6. Touzani, Samir & Busby, Daniel, 2013. "Smoothing spline analysis of variance approach for global sensitivity analysis of computer codes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 67-81.
    7. Mara, Thierry A. & Tarantola, Stefano, 2012. "Variance-based sensitivity indices for models with dependent inputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 115-121.
    8. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Song, Jingwen, 2015. "Variable importance analysis: A comprehensive review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 399-432.
    9. Storlie, Curtis B. & Swiler, Laura P. & Helton, Jon C. & Sallaberry, Cedric J., 2009. "Implementation and evaluation of nonparametric regression procedures for sensitivity analysis of computationally demanding models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(11), pages 1735-1763.
    10. Plischke, Elmar, 2012. "An adaptive correlation ratio method using the cumulative sum of the reordered output," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 149-156.
    11. Helton, Jon C. & Johnson, Jay D. & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2011. "Quantification of margins and uncertainties: Example analyses from reactor safety and radioactive waste disposal involving the separation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(9), pages 1014-1033.
    12. Hao, Wenrui & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wei, Pengfei, 2013. "Uncertainty importance measure for models with correlated normal variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 48-58.
    13. Torossian, Léonard & Picheny, Victor & Faivre, Robert & Garivier, Aurélien, 2020. "A review on quantile regression for stochastic computer experiments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    14. Deman, G. & Kerrou, J. & Benabderrahmane, H. & Perrochet, P., 2015. "Sensitivity analysis of groundwater lifetime expectancy to hydro-dispersive parameters: The case of ANDRA Meuse/Haute-Marne site," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 276-286.
    15. Helton, Jon C. & Brooks, Dusty M. & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2020. "Margins associated with loss of assured safety for systems with multiple weak links and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    16. Helton, Jon C. & Hansen, Clifford W. & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2012. "Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in performance assessment for the proposed high-level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 44-63.
    17. Helton, Jon C. & Pilch, Martin & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2014. "Probability of loss of assured safety in systems with multiple time-dependent failure modes: Representations with aleatory and epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 171-200.
    18. Tatsuya Sakurahara & Seyed Reihani & Ernie Kee & Zahra Mohaghegh, 2020. "Global importance measure methodology for integrated probabilistic risk assessment," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(2), pages 377-396, April.
    19. Buzzard, Gregery T., 2012. "Global sensitivity analysis using sparse grid interpolation and polynomial chaos," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 82-89.
    20. Daniel W. Gladish & Ross Darnell & Peter J. Thorburn & Bhakti Haldankar, 2019. "Emulated Multivariate Global Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computer Models Applied to Agricultural Simulators," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(1), pages 130-153, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:94:y:2009:i:7:p:1173-1182. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.