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Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for the seismic scenario classes in the 2008 performance assessment for the proposed high-level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada

Author

Listed:
  • Hansen, C.W.
  • Behie, G.A.
  • Bier, A.
  • Brooks, K.M.
  • Chen, Y.
  • Helton, J.C.
  • Hommel, S.P.
  • Lee, K.P.
  • Lester, B.
  • Mattie, P.D.
  • Mehta, S.
  • Miller, S.P.
  • Sallaberry, C.J.
  • Sevougian, S.D.
  • Vo, P.

Abstract

Extensive work has been carried out by the US Department of Energy (DOE) in the development of a proposed geologic repository at Yucca Mountain (YM), Nevada, for the disposal of high-level radioactive waste. In support of this development and an associated license application to the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), the DOE completed an extensive performance assessment (PA) for the proposed YM repository in 2008. This presentation describes uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results for the seismic ground motion scenario class and the seismic fault displacement scenario class obtained in the 2008 YM PA. The following topics are addressed for the seismic ground motion scenario class: (i) engineered barrier system conditions; (ii) release results for the engineered barrier system, unsaturated zone, and saturated zone; (iii) dose to the reasonably maximally exposed individual (RMEI) specified in the NRC regulations for the YM repository; and (iv) expected dose to the RMEI. In addition, expected dose to the RMEI for the seismic fault displacement scenario class is also considered. The present article is the part of a special issue of Reliability Engineering and System Safety devoted to the 2008 YM PA; additional articles in the issue describe other aspects of the 2008 YM PA.

Suggested Citation

  • Hansen, C.W. & Behie, G.A. & Bier, A. & Brooks, K.M. & Chen, Y. & Helton, J.C. & Hommel, S.P. & Lee, K.P. & Lester, B. & Mattie, P.D. & Mehta, S. & Miller, S.P. & Sallaberry, C.J. & Sevougian, S.D. & , 2014. "Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for the seismic scenario classes in the 2008 performance assessment for the proposed high-level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 406-420.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:122:y:2014:i:c:p:406-420
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.06.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Sallaberry, C.J. & Storlie, C.B., 2006. "Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(10), pages 1175-1209.
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    1. Cadini, F. & Gioletta, A. & Zio, E., 2015. "Improved metamodel-based importance sampling for the performance assessment of radioactive waste repositories," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 188-197.
    2. Edoardo Tosoni & Ahti Salo & Enrico Zio, 2018. "Scenario Analysis for the Safety Assessment of Nuclear Waste Repositories: A Critical Review," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 755-776, April.

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