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Mortgage risk and bank runs

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  • Turdaliev, Nurlan
  • Zhang, Yahong

Abstract

Not only did the collapse of housing prices in the aftermath of the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis of 2008 worsen the balance sheet positions of the banking sector, but it also led to a “bank run” in some cases such as the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. We develop a theoretical model featuring household debt (mortgages) and banking sector frictions. We show that mortgage risks can potentially lead to a bank run equilibrium. Such an equilibrium exists since mortgage risks reduce the liquidation prices of bank assets. We further show that mortgage market regulations such as loan-to-value requirements reduce the likelihood of bank runs.

Suggested Citation

  • Turdaliev, Nurlan & Zhang, Yahong, 2023. "Mortgage risk and bank runs," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 315-343.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:88:y:2023:i:c:p:315-343
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2023.02.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank run; Mortgage risk; Loan-to-value ratio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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