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Valuation of systematic risk in the cross-section of credit default swap spreads

Author

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  • Claußen, Arndt
  • Löhr, Sebastian
  • Rösch, Daniel
  • Scheule, Harald

Abstract

We analyze the pricing of systematic risk factors in credit default swap (CDS) contracts in a two-stage empirical framework. Firstly we estimate contract-specific sensitivities (betas) to several systematic risk factors by time-series regressions using quoted CDS spreads of 339 U.S. entities from January 2004 to December 2010. Secondly, we show that these contract-specific sensitivities are cross-sectionally priced in CDS spreads after controlling for individual risk factors. We find that the credit market climate, the Cross-market Correlation, and the market volatility explain CDS spread changes and that their corresponding sensitivities (betas) are particularly priced in the cross-section. Our basic risk factors explain about 83% (90%) of the CDS spreads prior to (during) the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Claußen, Arndt & Löhr, Sebastian & Rösch, Daniel & Scheule, Harald, 2017. "Valuation of systematic risk in the cross-section of credit default swap spreads," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 183-195.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:183-195
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2016.06.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2020. "Looking through systemic credit risk: Determinants, stress testing and market value," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Abdul Rafay & Yang Chen & Muhammad A.B.Naeem & Maham Ijaz, 2018. "Analyzing the Impact of Credit Ratings on Firm Performance and Stock Returns: An Evidence from Taiwan," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(3), pages 771-790, Summer.
    3. Adel Benhamed & Mohamed Sadok Gassouma, 2023. "Investigation and Modelling of Economic Systematic Risk and Capital Requirement: A Monte Carlo Simulation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-13, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swaps; Cross-section; Systematic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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