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Realized correlation analysis of contagion

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  • Vortelinos, Dimitrios I.

Abstract

This paper investigates the cross-market contagion between spot and futures US stock markets by examining the significance and properties (textbook and lead-lag asymmetries) of realized correlation, testing the assumptions of the cost-of-carry model, as well as testing the in-sample predictive significance of heterogeneity and jumps to realized correlation. Evidence from the US stock market suggests realized correlation can be very helpful analyzing contagion. There is strong evidence of statistically significant cross-market contagion in the US stock markets, when realized correlation is used as conditional correlation, across all methods employed. To the best of my knowledge, this paper is the first to nonparametrically analyze contagion based on realized correlation.

Suggested Citation

  • Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2016. "Realized correlation analysis of contagion," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 138-148.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:60:y:2016:i:c:p:138-148
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2015.10.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Dimitrios Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas (Gillas) & Costas Syriopoulos & Argyro Svingou, 2017. "Asymmetric and nonlinear inter-relations of US stock indices," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(1), pages 78-129, December.
    2. Shabeer Khan & Niaz Ahmed Bhutto & Uzair Abdullah Khan & Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Wadi B. Alonazi & Abdullah Ludeen, 2022. "Ṣukūk or Bond, Which Is More Sustainable during COVID-19? Global Evidence from the Wavelet Coherence Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-20, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contagion; Cost-of-carry; Asymmetries; Heterogeneity; Jumps; Liquidity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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