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The impact of US news on the German stock market—An event study analysis

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  • Dimpfl, Thomas

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of the opening of US stock markets on the German stock market. Quantiles of the S&P 500 return distribution are used to distinguish good, bad, and no news days. We find that the German market reacts to the US news announcements which typically precede the opening of the NYSE. The opening of the market itself and the beginning of trading is not found to affect the DAX. On calm days there is no measurable impact. Once important news is transmitted, it is processed rapidly. Volatility is found to be significantly higher on news days.

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  • Dimpfl, Thomas, 2011. "The impact of US news on the German stock market—An event study analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 389-398.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:51:y:2011:i:4:p:389-398
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2011.07.005
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    2. Aymen Belgacem & Anna Creti & Khaled Guesmi & Amine Lahiani, 2015. "Volatility spillovers and macroeconomic announcements: evidence from crude oil markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2974-2984, June.
    3. Weigerding, Michael, 2020. "Seasonal liquidity effects and their determinants on the covered bond market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 288-303.
    4. Ghulam Ghouse & Muhammad Ishaq Bhatti & Muhammad Hassam Shahid, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19, Political, and Financial Events on the Performance of Commercial Banking Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, April.
    5. Dimitrios I. Vortelinos, 2015. "The Effect of Macro News on Volatility and Jumps," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 16(2), pages 425-447, November.
    6. Henryk Gurgul & Christoph Mitterer & Tomasz Wójtowicz, 2021. "The Impact of US Macroeconomic News on the Prices of Single Stocks on the Vienna Stock Exchange," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(3), pages 287-329, September.
    7. Houssam Bouzgarrou & Tarek Chebbi, 2016. "The reaction of sovereign CDS spread volatilities to news announcements," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(5), pages 347-360, September.
    8. Singh, Manohar & Nejadmalayeri, Ali & Lucey, Brian, 2013. "Do U.S. macroeconomic surprises influence equity returns? An exploratory analysis of developed economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 476-485.
    9. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
    10. Gurgul Henryk & Hastenteufel Jessica & Wójtowicz Tomasz, 2021. "Changes in the impact of US macroeconomic news on financial markets the example of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 22(4), pages 41-58, December.
    11. Henryk Gurgul & Tomasz Wójtowicz, 2014. "The impact of US macroeconomic news on the Polish stock market," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 22(4), pages 795-817, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Event study; News impact; Spillover; Volatility; Price discovery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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