IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v615y2023ics0378437123001140.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric multifractal spectrum distribution based on detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Shen, Na
  • Chen, Jiayi

Abstract

This paper proposes the asymmetric multifractal spectrum distribution based on detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis (A-DMCA-MFSD) algorithm to calculate time-varying multifractal spectrum under different market trends. Numerical results of this algorithm applied to analyzing artificially generated data show superior performance in terms of accuracy and robustness. The algorithm is further applied to investigate auto-correlations of Bitcoin and Gold return series. Asymmetric behaviors of Bitcoin and Gold are obviously observed in small-scale fluctuations. In addition, Bitcoin series shows greater singularity strength than Gold in most of the time. Cross-correlations between Bitcoin and Gold are also studied utilizing A-DMCA-MFSD. Greater cross-correlation is observed during upward trends of Bitcoin (downward trends of Gold) than during downward trends (upward trends, respectively).

Suggested Citation

  • Shen, Na & Chen, Jiayi, 2023. "Asymmetric multifractal spectrum distribution based on detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:615:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123001140
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.128559
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437123001140
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2023.128559?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Persistence in trends and cycles of gold and silver prices: Evidence from historical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 345-354.
    2. Gulich, Damián & Zunino, Luciano, 2014. "A criterion for the determination of optimal scaling ranges in DFA and MF-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 17-30.
    3. Zeng, Yayun & Wang, Jun & Xu, Kaixuan, 2017. "Complexity and multifractal behaviors of multiscale-continuum percolation financial system for Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 364-376.
    4. Ruan, Qingsong & Meng, Lu & Lv, Dayong, 2021. "Effect of introducing Bitcoin futures on the underlying Bitcoin market efficiency: A multifractal analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    5. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    6. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2009. "The components of empirical multifractality in financial returns," Papers 0908.1089, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2009.
    7. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Carlos Echeverria, Juan, 2009. "A DFA approach for assessing asymmetric correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(12), pages 2263-2270.
    8. J.-P. Bouchaud & M. Potters & M. Meyer, 2000. "Apparent multifractality in financial time series," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 13(3), pages 595-599, February.
    9. Demir, Ender & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Vigne, Samuel A., 2018. "Does economic policy uncertainty predict the Bitcoin returns? An empirical investigation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 145-149.
    10. Gao, Xing-Lu & Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Do the global grain spot markets exhibit multifractal nature?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    11. Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2012. "Finite-size effect and the components of multifractality in financial volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 147-155.
    12. Wang, Feng & Ye, Xin & Chen, HongTao & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "A portfolio strategy of stock market based on mean-MF-X-DMA model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    13. Chiang, Thomas C. & Zheng, Dazhi, 2010. "An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1911-1921, August.
    14. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2011. "A new approach to quantify power-law cross-correlation and its application to commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3806-3814.
    15. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 87-95.
    16. Zhang, Chen & Ni, Zhiwei & Ni, Liping & Li, Jingming & Zhou, Longfei, 2016. "Asymmetric multifractal detrending moving average analysis in time series of PM2.5 concentration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 457(C), pages 322-330.
    17. Kaushik Matia & Yosef Ashkenazy & H. Eugene Stanley, 2003. "Multifractal Properties of Price Fluctuations of Stocks and Commodities," Papers cond-mat/0308012, arXiv.org.
    18. Dang, Ha V. & Lin, Mi, 2016. "Herd mentality in the stock market: On the role of idiosyncratic participants with heterogeneous information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 247-260.
    19. Todea, Alexandru, 2016. "Cross-correlations between volatility, volatility persistence and stock market integration: the case of emergent stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 208-215.
    20. David Yermack, 2013. "Is Bitcoin a Real Currency? An economic appraisal," NBER Working Papers 19747, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Lin, Min & Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2018. "Cross-correlations and influence in world gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 504-512.
    22. Ruan, Qingsong & Huang, Ying & Jiang, Wei, 2016. "The exceedance and cross-correlations between the gold spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 139-151.
    23. Castro e Silva, A. & Moreira, J.G., 1997. "Roughness exponents to calculate multi-affine fractal exponents," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 327-333.
    24. Eom, Cheoljun & Kaizoji, Taisei & Kang, Sang Hoon & Pichl, Lukas, 2019. "Bitcoin and investor sentiment: Statistical characteristics and predictability," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 511-521.
    25. R. J. Buonocore & G. Brandi & R. N. Mantegna & T. Di Matteo, 2020. "On the interplay between multiscaling and stock dependence," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 133-145, January.
    26. Telli, Şahin & Chen, Hongzhuan, 2020. "Multifractal behavior in return and volatility series of Bitcoin and gold in comparison," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    27. Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Marcin Forczek & Stanis{l}aw Jadach & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n, 2013. "Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis Consistently Extended to Multifractality," Papers 1308.6148, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    28. Zhang, Xin & Yang, Liansheng & Zhu, Yingming, 2019. "Analysis of multifractal characterization of Bitcoin market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 973-983.
    29. Jin, Jingyu & Yu, Jiang & Hu, Yang & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Which one is more informative in determining price movements of hedging assets? Evidence from Bitcoin, gold and crude oil markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    30. Cao, Guangxi & Cao, Jie & Xu, Longbing, 2013. "Asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior in the Chinese stock market: Based on asymmetric MF-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 797-807.
    31. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    32. Barunik, Jozef & Aste, Tomaso & Di Matteo, T. & Liu, Ruipeng, 2012. "Understanding the source of multifractality in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(17), pages 4234-4251.
    33. Gao-Feng Gu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2010. "Detrending moving average algorithm for multifractals," Papers 1005.0877, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
    34. Litimi, Houda & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Bouraoui, Omar, 2016. "Herding and excessive risk in the American stock market: A sectoral analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 6-21.
    35. Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Mattia Frasca & Robert Gk{e}barowski & Natsue Yoshimura & Luciano Zunino & Ludovico Minati, 2020. "Wavelet-based discrimination of isolated singularities masquerading as multifractals in detrended fluctuation analyses," Papers 2004.03319, arXiv.org.
    36. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Papers 1103.2577, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    37. Gajardo, Gabriel & Kristjanpoller, Werner D. & Minutolo, Marcel, 2018. "Does Bitcoin exhibit the same asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations with crude oil, gold and DJIA as the Euro, Great British Pound and Yen?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 195-205.
    38. Gajardo, Gabriel & Kristjanpoller, Werner, 2017. "Asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations and time varying features between Latin-American stock market indices and crude oil market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 121-128.
    39. Ruan, Qingsong & Jiang, Wei & Ma, Guofeng, 2016. "Cross-correlations between price and volume in Chinese gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 10-22.
    40. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2008. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals," Papers 0803.2773, arXiv.org.
    41. Xiong, Gang & Zhang, Shuning & Liu, Qiang, 2012. "The time-singularity multifractal spectrum distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4727-4739.
    42. Xiong, Gang & Zhang, Shuning & Zhao, Huichang, 2014. "Multifractal spectrum distribution based on detrending moving average," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 97-110.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Saâdaoui, Foued, 2024. "Segmented multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis for assessing inefficiency in North African stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Chen, Yufeng, 2024. "Asymmetric multifractality: Comparative efficiency analysis of global technological and renewable energy prices using MFDFA and A-MFDFA approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruan, Qingsong & Zhang, Manqian & Lv, Dayong & Yang, Haiquan, 2018. "SAD and stock returns revisited: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA and Granger test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1009-1022.
    2. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Khosravi, Reza, 2020. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis on benchmark cryptocurrencies and crude oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    3. Yao, Can-Zhong & Liu, Cheng & Ju, Wei-Jia, 2020. "Multifractal analysis of the WTI crude oil market, US stock market and EPU," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
    4. Zeng, Sheng & Liu, Xinchun & Li, Xiafei & Wei, Qi & Shang, Yue, 2019. "Information dominance among hedging assets: Evidence from return and volatility directional spillovers in time and frequency domains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    5. Cao, Guangxi & Xu, Wei, 2016. "Nonlinear structure analysis of carbon and energy markets with MFDCCA based on maximum overlap wavelet transform," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 505-523.
    6. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Blockchain ETFs and the cryptocurrency and Nasdaq markets: Multifractal and asymmetric cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
    7. Fernández-Martínez, M. & Sánchez-Granero, M.A. & Casado Belmonte, M.P. & Trinidad Segovia, J.E., 2020. "A note on power-law cross-correlated processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    8. Yao, Can-Zhong & Lin, Ji-Nan & Zheng, Xu-Zhou, 2017. "Coupling detrended fluctuation analysis for multiple warehouse-out behavioral sequences," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 75-90.
    9. Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Li, Qingchen & Xu, Wei, 2017. "Asymmetric MF-DCCA method based on risk conduction and its application in the Chinese and foreign stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 119-130.
    10. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
    11. Guo, Yaoqi & Yu, Zhuling & Yu, Chenxi & Cheng, Hui & Chen, Weixun & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Asymmetric multifractal features of the price–volume correlation in China’s gold futures market based on MF-ADCCA," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    12. Li Wang & Xing-Lu Gao & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2023. "Testing For Intrinsic Multifractality In The Global Grain Spot Market Indices: A Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis," FRACTALS (fractals), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 31(07), pages 1-24.
    13. Yao, Can-Zhong & Mo, Yi-Na & Zhang, Ze-Kun, 2021. "A study of the efficiency of the Chinese clean energy stock market and its correlation with the crude oil market based on an asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    14. Wei, Yu & Chen, Wang & Lin, Yu, 2013. "Measuring daily Value-at-Risk of SSEC index: A new approach based on multifractal analysis and extreme value theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2163-2174.
    15. Gao, Xing-Lu & Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Do the global grain spot markets exhibit multifractal nature?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    16. Kakinaka, Shinji & Umeno, Ken, 2021. "Exploring asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations of price–volatility and asymmetric volatility dynamics in cryptocurrency markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    17. Li, Shuping & Li, Jianfeng & Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Yihong, 2022. "Exploring the dynamic nonlinear relationship between crude oil price and implied volatility indices: A new perspective from MMV-MFDFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    18. Cao, Guangxi & Xu, Longbing & Cao, Jie, 2012. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the Chinese exchange market and stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4855-4866.
    19. Chen, Yuwen & Zheng, Tingting, 2017. "Asymmetric joint multifractal analysis in Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 10-19.
    20. Lin, Min & Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2018. "Cross-correlations and influence in world gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 504-512.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:615:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123001140. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.