IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v582y2021ics0378437121004994.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The influence of risk attitude on credit risk contagion—Perspective of information dissemination

Author

Listed:
  • Qian, Qian
  • Feng, Hairong
  • Gu, Jing

Abstract

The information related to enterprises’ credit level will disseminate among entrepreneurs through their relationships. Entrepreneurs with different risk attitudes may make different decisions even if they face the same information, which will affect the credit risk contagion among enterprises. This paper constructs a dual-layer network to describe relationships among entrepreneurs and enterprises, and builds a credit risk contagion model with the influence of information dissemination, then investigates the influence factors on the credit risk contagion by simulation analysis. The results are as follows: (1) The threshold of credit risk contagion is negatively correlated with the possibility of losing immunity and positively correlated with the possibility of recovery; (2) The number of infected enterprises decrease with the increasing of the social rate and dual-layer network similarity; (3) Strengthening information dissemination among entrepreneurs can control credit risk contagion among enterprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Qian, Qian & Feng, Hairong & Gu, Jing, 2021. "The influence of risk attitude on credit risk contagion—Perspective of information dissemination," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 582(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:582:y:2021:i:c:s0378437121004994
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126226
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437121004994
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2021.126226?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gai, Prasanna & Kapadia, Sujit, 2010. "Contagion in financial networks," Bank of England working papers 383, Bank of England.
    2. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Chen, Tingqiang, 2019. "Investor behavior, information disclosure strategy and counterparty credit risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 37-49.
    3. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2000. "Financial Contagion," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 1-33, February.
    4. Allen, Franklin & Carletti, Elena, 2006. "Credit risk transfer and contagion," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 89-111, January.
    5. Giesecke, Kay & Weber, Stefan, 2004. "Cyclical correlations, credit contagion, and portfolio losses," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(12), pages 3009-3036, December.
    6. Robert M. May & Simon A. Levin & George Sugihara, 2008. "Ecology for bankers," Nature, Nature, vol. 451(7181), pages 893-894, February.
    7. Ahnert, Toni & Georg, Co-Pierre, 2018. "Information contagion and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 159-171.
    8. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(2), pages 564-608, February.
    9. Elke U. Weber & Richard A. Milliman, 1997. "Perceived Risk Attitudes: Relating Risk Perception to Risky Choice," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(2), pages 123-144, February.
    10. Philippe Jorion & Gaiyan Zhang, 2010. "Information Transfer Effects of Bond Rating Downgrades," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 683-706, August.
    11. David H. Solomon, 2012. "Selective Publicity and Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(2), pages 599-638, April.
    12. Duncan J. Watts & Steven H. Strogatz, 1998. "Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 393(6684), pages 440-442, June.
    13. Barro, Diana & Basso, Antonella, 2010. "Credit contagion in a network of firms with spatial interaction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 205(2), pages 459-468, September.
    14. Arora, Navneet & Gandhi, Priyank & Longstaff, Francis A., 2012. "Counterparty credit risk and the credit default swap market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 280-293.
    15. Sui, Xin & Li, Liang, 2018. "Guarantee network model and risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 323-329.
    16. Giesecke, Kay, 2004. "Correlated default with incomplete information," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1521-1545, July.
    17. Robert A. Jarrow & Fan Yu, 2008. "Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 20, pages 481-515, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    18. Nier, Erlend & Yang, Jing & Yorulmazer, Tanju & Alentorn, Amadeo, 2007. "Network models and financial stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 2033-2060, June.
    19. Li, Shouwei & Sui, Xin, 2016. "Contagion risk in endogenous financial networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 591-597.
    20. Yuan, Xinpeng & Xue, Yakui & Liu, Maoxing, 2013. "Analysis of an epidemic model with awareness programs by media on complex networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-11.
    21. Snelbecker, Glenn E. & Roszkowski, Michael J. & Cutler, Neal E., 1990. "Investors' risk tolerance and return aspirations, and financial advisors' interpretations: A conceptual model and exploratory data," Journal of Behavioral Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 377-393.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tingqiang Chen & Yuejuan Hou & Lei Wang & Zeyu Li, 2023. "Counterparty Risk Contagion Model of Carbon Quota Based on Asset Price Reduction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-35, July.
    2. Ping Yu & Zhiping Wang & Yanan Sun & Peiwen Wang, 2022. "Risk Diffusion and Control under Uncertain Information Based on Hypernetwork," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-17, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Tingqiang & Wang, Jiepeng & Liu, Haifei & He, Yuanping, 2019. "Contagion model on counterparty credit risk in the CRT market by considering the heterogeneity of counterparties and preferential-random mixing attachment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 458-480.
    2. Qian, Qian & Yang, Yang & Gu, Jing & Feng, Hairong, 2019. "Information authenticity, spreading willingness and credit risk contagion – A dual-layer network perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    3. Qian, Qian & Chao, Xiangrui & Feng, Hairong, 2023. "Internal or external control? How to respond to credit risk contagion in complex enterprises network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Tingqiang Chen & Binqing Xiao & Haifei Liu, 2018. "Credit Risk Contagion in an Evolving Network Model Integrating Spillover Effects and Behavioral Interventions," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-16, March.
    5. Chen, Naixi & Fan, Hong, 2023. "Credit risk contagion and optimal dual control—An SIS/R model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 448-472.
    6. Berndsen, Ron J. & León, Carlos & Renneboog, Luc, 2018. "Financial stability in networks of financial institutions and market infrastructures," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 120-135.
    7. Guillaume Vuillemey, 2015. "Derivatives markets : from bank risk management to financial stability [Les marchés de dérivés : gestion des risques bancaires et stabilité financière]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-03507099, HAL.
    8. Paltalidis, Nikos & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kizys, Renatas & Koutelidakis, Yiannis, 2015. "Transmission channels of systemic risk and contagion in the European financial network," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 36-52.
    9. Jiang, Shanshan & Fan, Hong, 2018. "Credit risk contagion coupling with sentiment contagion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 186-202.
    10. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Chen, Tingqiang, 2019. "Investor behavior, information disclosure strategy and counterparty credit risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 37-49.
    11. Pawe{l} Smaga & Mateusz Wili'nski & Piotr Ochnicki & Piotr Arendarski & Tomasz Gubiec, 2016. "Can banks default overnight? Modeling endogenous contagion on O/N interbank market," Papers 1603.05142, arXiv.org.
    12. Guillaume Vuillemey, 2015. "Derivatives markets : from bank risk management to financial stability [Les marchés de dérivés : gestion des risques bancaires et stabilité financière]," SciencePo Working papers tel-03507099, HAL.
    13. Kanno, Masayasu, 2020. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk in the US CDS market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    14. Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix & Giudici, Paolo & Hashem, Shatha Qamhieh, 2021. "Network VAR models to measure financial contagion," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    15. Anand, Kartik & Gai, Prasanna & Kapadia, Sujit & Brennan, Simon & Willison, Matthew, 2013. "A network model of financial system resilience," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 219-235.
    16. Ladley, Daniel, 2013. "Contagion and risk-sharing on the inter-bank market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1384-1400.
    17. in 't Veld, Daan & van der Leij, Marco & Hommes, Cars, 2020. "The formation of a core-periphery structure in heterogeneous financial networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    18. Sam Langfield & Kimmo Soramäki, 2016. "Interbank Exposure Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(1), pages 3-17, January.
    19. León, C., 2015. "Financial stability from a network perspective," Other publications TiSEM bb2e4e44-e842-45c6-a946-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin & Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2014. "The network structure of the CDS market and its determinants," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 118-133.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:582:y:2021:i:c:s0378437121004994. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.