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Contagion risk in endogenous financial networks

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  • Li, Shouwei
  • Sui, Xin

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate contagion risk in an endogenous financial network, which is characterized by credit relationships connecting downstream and upstream firms, interbank credit relationships and credit relationships connecting firms and banks. The findings suggest that: increasing the number of potential lenders randomly selected can lead to an increase in the number of bank bankruptcies, while the number of firm bankruptcies presents a trend of increase after the decrease; after the intensity of choice parameter rises beyond a threshold, the number of bankruptcies in three sectors (downstream firms, upstream firms and banks) shows a relatively large margin of increase, and keeps at a relatively high level; there exists different trends for bankruptcies in different sectors with the change of the parameter of credits’ interest rates.

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  • Li, Shouwei & Sui, Xin, 2016. "Contagion risk in endogenous financial networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 591-597.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:91:y:2016:i:c:p:591-597
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2016.08.006
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    4. Rémi Stellian & Gabriel I. Penagos & Jenny P. Danna-Buitrago, 2021. "Firms in financial distress: evidence from inter-firm payment networks with volatility driven by ‘animal spirits’," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(1), pages 59-101, January.
    5. Sui, Xin & Li, Liang, 2018. "Guarantee network model and risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 323-329.
    6. Chen, Tingqiang & Wang, Jiepeng & Liu, Haifei & He, Yuanping, 2019. "Contagion model on counterparty credit risk in the CRT market by considering the heterogeneity of counterparties and preferential-random mixing attachment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 458-480.
    7. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Wang, Jining & Meng, Yi, 2020. "Real estate bubbles in a bank-real estate loan network model integrating economic cycle and macro-prudential stress testing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
    8. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Chen, Tingqiang, 2019. "Investor behavior, information disclosure strategy and counterparty credit risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 37-49.
    9. Liang He & Shouwei Li, 2017. "Network Entropy and Systemic Risk in Dynamic Banking Systems," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-7, November.
    10. Haifei Liu & Tingqiang Chen & Zuhan Hu, 2017. "Dynamic Evolution of Securities Market Network Structure under Acute Fluctuation Circumstances," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-11, November.
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    12. Rémi Stellian & Jenny P. Danna‐Buitrago, 2020. "Financial distress, free cash flow, and interfirm payment network: Evidence from an agent‐based model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 598-616, October.

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