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The Topological Weighted Centroid (TWC): A topological approach to the time-space structure of epidemic and pseudo-epidemic processes

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  • Buscema, Massimo
  • Massini, Giulia
  • Sacco, Pier Luigi

Abstract

This paper offers the first systematic presentation of the topological approach to the analysis of epidemic and pseudo-epidemic spatial processes. We introduce the basic concepts and proofs, at test the approach on a diverse collection of case studies of historically documented epidemic and pseudo-epidemic processes. The approach is found to consistently provide reliable estimates of the structural features of epidemic processes, and to provide useful analytical insights and interpretations of fragmentary pseudo-epidemic processes. Although this analysis has to be regarded as preliminary, we find that the approach’s basic tenets are strongly corroborated by this first test and warrant future research in this vein.

Suggested Citation

  • Buscema, Massimo & Massini, Giulia & Sacco, Pier Luigi, 2018. "The Topological Weighted Centroid (TWC): A topological approach to the time-space structure of epidemic and pseudo-epidemic processes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 582-627.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:492:y:2018:i:c:p:582-627
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.09.050
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paolo Massimo Buscema & Guido Ferilli & Christer Gustafsson & Pier Luigi Sacco, 2020. "The Complex Dynamic Evolution of Cultural Vibrancy in the Region of Halland, Sweden," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 43(3), pages 159-202, May.
    2. Buscema, Massimo & Sacco, Pier Luigi & Massini, Giulia & Della Torre, Francesca & Brogi, Marco & Salonia, Massimo & Ferilli, Guido, 2018. "Unraveling the space grammar of terrorist attacks: A TWC approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 230-254.
    3. Buscema, Paolo Massimo & Della Torre, Francesca & Breda, Marco & Massini, Giulia & Grossi, Enzo, 2020. "COVID-19 in Italy and extreme data mining," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).

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