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An agent-based computational model for tuberculosis spreading on age-structured populations

Author

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  • Graciani Rodrigues, C.C.
  • Espíndola, Aquino L.
  • Penna, T.J.P.

Abstract

In this work we present an agent-based computational model to study the spreading of the tuberculosis (TB) disease on age-structured populations. The model proposed is a merge of two previous models: an agent-based computational model for the spreading of tuberculosis and a bit-string model for biological aging. The combination of TB with the population aging, reproduces the coexistence of health states, as seen in real populations. In addition, the universal exponential behavior of mortalities curves is still preserved. Finally, the population distribution as function of age shows the prevalence of TB mostly in elders, for high efficacy treatments.

Suggested Citation

  • Graciani Rodrigues, C.C. & Espíndola, Aquino L. & Penna, T.J.P., 2015. "An agent-based computational model for tuberculosis spreading on age-structured populations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 52-59.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:428:y:2015:i:c:p:52-59
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2015.02.027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. dos Santos, R.V.R. & Martins, S.G.F. & Pompeu, P.S., 2012. "An individual-based model for evolutionary effects of selective fishing applied to Pseudoplatystoma corruscans," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(21), pages 5112-5120.
    2. Ellen Brooks-Pollock & Ted Cohen & Megan Murray, 2010. "The Impact of Realistic Age Structure in Simple Models of Tuberculosis Transmission," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(1), pages 1-6, January.
    3. Almeida, R.M.C.de & Oliveira, S.Moss de & Penna, T.J.P., 1998. "Theoretical approach to biological aging," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 253(1), pages 366-378.
    4. de Oliveira, A.C.S. & Martins, S.G.F. & Zacarias, M.S., 2008. "Computer simulation of the coffee leaf miner using sexual Penna aging model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 476-484.
    5. S. G. F. Martins & T. J. P. Penna, 1998. "Computer Simulation of Sexual Selection on Age-Structured Populations," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 491-496.
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    1. da Rocha, Arthur M. & Espíndola, Aquino L. & Penna, T.J.P., 2020. "Mortality curves using a bit-string aging model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).

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